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Sweden Power Report Q2 2016

Sweden Power Report Q2 2016

BMI View: This quarter our fundamental assumptions for Sweden continue to be relevant. Taking intoaccount relatively positive macroeconomic expectations for the Nordic region as well as sector trends, wecontinue to expect power consumption growth in 2016. Similarly, we maintain our long-held view that,while growth expectations in the region are improving, economic woes in the eurozone remain a major riskfactor for the consumption and generation outlook of the country, as more regional instability couldundermine their economic activity.

Latest Updates And Structural Trends

In Sweden, where nuclear and hydropower dominate electricity supply, the energy outlook for themedium- and long term looks less promising. The Social Democrats' and greens' minority government inpower since September 2014 have announced their intention to phase out nuclear power and replace itwith renewables. It should be noted, however, a change to Sweden's long-term energy strategy is likely torequire support from the conservative opposition, thus introducing uncertainty. The deterioration of theoperating environment for nuclear power in Sweden will prompt generators, such as E.ON andVattenfall, to phase down their output, as low electricity prices coupled with new nuclear taxation rulescurb profit potential for power generators. Other domestic sources of electricity, such as hydropower,combined with an increase in electricity imports from Norway will therefore have to pick up slack in thepower mix over the next decade.


BMI Industry View
Table: Headline Power Forecasts (Sweden 2015-2021)
SWOT
Industry Forecast
Sweden Snapshot
Table: Country Snapshot: Economic and Demographic Data (Sweden 2015-2019)
Table: Country Snapshot: Economic and Demographic Data (Sweden 2020-2025)
Sweden Power Forecast Scenario
Electricity Generation And Power Generating Capacity
Table: Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts (Sweden 2014-2019)
Table: Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts (Sweden 2020-2025)
Table: Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts (Sweden 2020-2025)
Table: Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts (Sweden 2014-2019)
Table: Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts (Sweden 2020-2025)
Electricity Consumption
Table: Total Electricity Consumption Data And Forecasts (Sweden 2014-2019)
Table: Total Electricity Consumption Data And Forecasts (Sweden 2020-2025)
Transmission and Distribution
Table: Electric Power T&D Losses Data And Forecasts (Sweden 2014-2019)
Table: Electric Power T&D Losses Data And Forecasts (Sweden 2020-2025)
Industry Risk Reward Ratings
NAWE Power Risk/Reward Index
Denmark Power Risk/Reward Index
Market Overview
Regulation And Competition
Sustainable Energy Policies
Pricing
Sweden Power Project Database
Table: Sweden Power - Top 10 Projects By Capacity
Competitive Landscape
Vattenfall
E.ON
Fortum
Regional Overview
NAWE Power Regional Overview
Glossary
Table: Glossary Of Terms
Methodology
Methodology And Sources
Industry Forecast Methodology
Sources
Risk/Reward Index Methodology
Table: Power Risk/Reward Index Indicators
Table: Weighting Of Indicators

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