Market Research Logo

Sweden Country Risk Report Q3 2018

Sweden Country Risk Report Q3 2018

Sweden will remain a growth outperformer among developed states, but the economy is set to cool slightly from well-above trend levels.

The surge in migrant inflows in 2015-2016 will lead to higher eco-nomic growth over the medium term, but will present challenges to the fiscal accounts, the labour market and domestic political stability.

The Swedish political scene is splintering and new realignments look likely following the 2018 general election. The uncertainty over future policy formation will continue to weigh on our Political Risk score for the country.


Executive Summary
Core Views
Major Forecast Changes
Key Risks
Chapter 1: Economic Outlook
SWOT Analysis
BMI Economic Risk Index
Economic Growth Outlook
Residential Investment To Pull Down Growth
GDP By Expenditure Outlook
TABLE: PRIVATE CONSUMPTION FORECASTS
TABLE: GOVERNMENT CONSUMPTION FORECASTS
TABLE: FIXED INVESTMENT FORECASTS
TABLE: NET EXPORTS FORECASTS
TABLE: GDP GROWTH FORECASTS
Outlook On External Position
TABLE: CURRENT ACCOUNT BALANCE FORECASTS
TABLE: TOP 5 EXPORT DESTINATIONS AND GOODS EXPORTS (2017)
TABLE: TOP 5 IMPORT SOURCES AND GOODS IMPORTS (2017)
TABLE: CAPITAL & FINANCIAL ACCOUNT BALANCE
Monetary Policy
Riksbank On Hold Until Mid-2019
Monetary Policy Framework
TABLE: MONETARY POLICY FORECASTS
Structural Fiscal Position
TABLE: GENERAL GOVERNMENT EXPENDITURE AND REVENUE BREAKDOWN
TABLE: FISCAL AND PUBLIC DEBT FORECASTS
Chapter 2: 10-Year Forecast
The Swedish Economy To 2027
Well-Positioned For The Long Term
TABLE: LONG-TERM MACROECONOMIC FORECASTS
Chapter 3: Political Outlook
SWOT Analysis
BMI Political Risk Index
Domestic Politics
Policy Paralysis To Persist Post-Election
TABLE: POLITICAL OVERVIEW
Long-Term Political Outlook
Strong Institutions Underpin Stability
Chapter 4: Operational Risk
Developed States
TABLE: LABOUR MARKET RISK INDEX
TABLE: LOGISTICS RISK INDEX
TABLE: CRIME AND SECURITY RISK INDEX
TABLE: TRADE AND INVESTMENT RISK INDEX
Chapter 5: BMI Global Macro Outlook
Key Divergences Emerging In World Economy
TABLE: GLOBAL MACROECONOMIC FORECASTS
TABLE: DEVELOPED STATES – REAL GDP GROWTH, % y-o-y
TABLE: EMERGING MARKETS – REAL GDP GROWTH, % y-o-y
TABLE: SWEDEN – MACROECONOMIC DATA & FORECASTS

Download our eBook: How to Succeed Using Market Research

Learn how to effectively navigate the market research process to help guide your organization on the journey to success.

Download eBook

Share this report