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Sudan and South Sudan Oil and Gas Report Q2 2015

Sudan and South Sudan Oil and Gas Report Q2 2015

BMI View: The outlook on Sudan and South Sudan's upstream sector has grown increasingly bearish. Anunstable political environment and chronic weakness in both countries' security landscapes will driverepeated supply outages and chronic underinvestment. Exports will also come under increased strained, asa sustained fall in global oil prices, rising refined fuels import dependence and longer-term crudeproduction decline all act to undercut revenues.

The main trends and developments we highlight for Sudan and South Sudan's oil and gas sectors are:

Exploration in both Sudan and South Sudan will remain heavily constrained. An uncertain political andsecurity environment, combined with major capex claw backs across the industry, will see limitedinvestment in neWexploration across our forecast period.


BMI Industry View
Table: Headline Forecasts (Sudan 2013-2019)
Table: Headline Forecasts (South Sudan 2013 - 2019)
SWOT
Oil & Gas SWOT
Industry Forecast
Upstream Exploration
Table: Proven Oil and Gas Reserves (Sudan 2013-2018)
Table: Proven Oil and Gas Reserves (Sudan 2019-2024)
Table: Proved Oil Reserves (South Sudan 2013 - 2018)
Table: Proved Oil Reserves (South Sudan 2019 - 2024)
Table: Major Discoveries Sudan and South Sudan
Upstream Projects
Table: Sudan And South Sudan - Upstream Projects
Upstream Production - Oil
Oil Production - Sudan
Table: Oil Production (Sudan 2013-2018)
Table: Oil Production (Sudan 2019-2024)
Oil Production - South Sudan
Table: Oil Production (South Sudan 2013 - 2018)
Table: Oil Production (South Sudan 2019 - 2024)
Refining
Refining - Sudan
Table: Refining Capacity and Refined Products Production (Sudan 2013-2018)
Table: Refining Capacity and Refined Products Production (Sudan 2019-2024)
Refining - South Sudan
Refined Fuels Consumption
Refined Fuels Consumption - Sudan
Table: Refined Products Consumption* (Sudan 2013-2018)
Table: Refined Products Consumption* (Sudan 2019-2024)
Refined Fuels Consumption - South Sudan
Table: Refined Products Consumption (South Sudan 2013 - 2018)
Table: Refined Products Consumption
Trade - Oil
Oil Trade - Sudan
Table: Crude Oil Net Exports (Sudan 2013-2018)
Table: Crude Oil Net Exports (Sudan 2019-2024)
Table: Refined Fuels Net Exports (Sudan 2013-2018)
Table: Refined Fuels Net Exports (Sudan 2019-2024)
Oil Trade - South Sudan
Table: Crude Oil Net Exports (South Sudan 2013 - 2018)
Table: Crude Oil Net Exports (South Sudan 2019 - 2024)
Table: Refined Fuels Net Exports (South Sudan 2013 - 2018)
Table: Refined Fuels Net Exports (South Sudan 2019 - 2024)
Industry Risk Reward Index
Africa Oil & Gas Risk/Reward Index
Table: BMI's Africa Oil And Gas Risk/Reward Index
Above-Ground Risks Dampen Upstream Outlook
Table: BMI's Africa Upstream Risk/Reward Index
Emergent Producers Stumble At Regulatory Hurdles
Mature Producers Continue To Underperform Their Potential
Falling Oil Price Trims Rewards
An Underwhelming Downstream
Table: BMI's Africa Downstream Risk/Reward Index
Market Overview
Sudan And South Sudan Energy Market Overview
Table: Sudan & South Sudan Upstream Projects
Overview/State Role
Licensing And Regulation
Government Policy
Licensing Rounds
International Energy Relations
Table: Key Upstream Players: Asia Firmly in the Lead
Oil And Gas Infrastructure
Oil Refineries
Service Stations
Oil Storage Facilities
Oil Terminals/Ports
Oil Pipelines
Table: Pipeline Infrastructure
Competitive Landscape
Competitive Landscape Summary
Table: Key Players - Sudan Energy Sector
Table: Key Upstream Players
Table: Key Downstream Players
Company Profile
ONGC Sudan
CNPC Sudan
Petronas Sudan
Other Summaries
Regional Overview
Africa Oil&Gas Regional Overview
Lower Risk Appetite Slowing Exploration Drive
Unconventionals: A New Frontier
East Africa: Offshore Gas, Onshore Oil
High-Risk Continent
Downstream Blues
Global Industry Overview
Global Industry Overview - 5 Themes For 2015: Oil & Gas
Table: LNG Export Terminals At Pre-FID Stage
Appendix
Africa - Regional Appendix
Table: Oil Consumption - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2011-2018 ('000b/d)
Table: Oil Consumption - Long-Term Forecasts, 2015-2023 ('000b/d)
Table: Oil Production - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2011-2018 ('000b/d)
Table: Oil Production - Long-Term Forecasts, 2015-2023 ('000b/d)
Table: Refining Capacity - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2011-2018 ('000b/d)
Table: Refining Capacity - Long-Term Forecasts, 2015-2023 ('000b/d)
Table: Gas Consumption - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2011-2018 (bcm)
Table: Gas Consumption - Long-Term Forecasts, 2015-2023 (bcm)
Table: Gas Production - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2011-2018 (bcm)
Table: Gas Production - Long-Term Forecasts, 2015-2023 (bcm)
Table: LNG Net Exports - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2011-2018 (bcm)
Table: LNG Net Exports - Long-Term Forecasts, 2015-2023 (bcm)
Sudan and South Sudan - Total Hydrocarbons, 10-year Forecasts
Sudan
Table: Total Hydrocarbons Production, Consumption and Net Exports (Sudan 2013-2018)
Table: Total Hydrocarbons Production, Consumption and Net Exports (Sudan 2019-2024)
South Sudan
Table: Total Hydrocarbons Production, Consumption And Net Exports (South Sudan 2013-2018)
Table: Total Hydrocarbons Production, Consumption And Net Exports (South Sudan 2019 - 2024)
Sudan and South Sudan - Refined Products Breakdown, 10-year Forecast
Sudan
Table: Refined Petroleum Products, Production Breakdown (Sudan 2013-2018)
Table: Refined Petroleum Products, Production Breakdown (Sudan 2019-2024)
Table: Refined Petroleum Products, Consumption Breakdown (Sudan 2013-2018)
Table: Refined Petroleum Products, Consumption Breakdown (Sudan 2019-2024)
Table: Refined Petroleum Products, Net Exports Breakdown (Sudan 2013-2018)
Table: Refined Petroleum Products, Net Exports Breakdown (Sudan 2019-2024)
South Sudan
Table: Refined Petroleum Products, Production Breakdown (South Sudan 2013 - 2018)
Table: Refined Petroleum Products, Production Breakdown (South Sudan 2019 - 2024)
Table: Refined Petroleum Products, Consumption Breakdown (South Sudan 2013 - 2018)
Table: Refined Petroleum Products, Consumption Breakdown (South Sudan 2019 - 2024)
Table: Refined Petroleum Products, Net Exports Breakdown (South Sudan 2013 - 2018)
Table: Refined Petroleum Products, Net Exports Breakdown (South Sudan 2019 - 2024)
Glossary
Table: Glossary Of Terms
Methodology
Industry Forecast Methodology
Source
Risk/Reward Index Methodology
Table: Bmi's Oil & Gas Upstream Risk/Reward Index
Table: Weighting

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