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Sudan and South Sudan Food and Drink Report Q2 2015

Sudan and South Sudan Food and Drink Report Q2 2015

Economic conditions in Sudan will improve over the coming quarters, but nonetheless remain challenging.

We are forecasting real GDP growth of 3.8% in 2015 from an estimated 2.6% in 2014. This improvementwill be due in part to easing inflationary pressures as the government keeps monetary and fiscal policytight. In addition, the high base effects associated with the September 2013 currency devaluation areexpected to wear-off. This will provide some respite to Sudanese consumers who have seen their purchasingpower severely eroded in recent quarters. Economic activity is also likely to be supported by strongagricultural output and further robust growth in gold production.

Despite this improvement on 2014, growth will continue to be weighed down by persistent insecurity andwhat remains a fragile and uncertain political environment. While hopes of genuine political reform wereraised in 2014, a peaceful outcome to the country's ongoing governance malaise in time for generalelections in April 2015 remains unlikely.


BMI Industry View
Industry Forecast
Food
Table: Food Consumption Indicators - Historical Data & Forecasts (Sudan 2012-2019)
Drink
Mass Grocery Retail
Table: Mass Grocery Retail Sales By Format - Historical Data & Forecasts (Sudan 2014-2019)
Macroeconomic Forecast
Sudan Macroeconomic Forecast
Table: Economic Activity (Sudan 2009-2018)
South Sudan Macroeconomic Forecast
Table: Monetary Policy (South Sudan 2010-2018)
Industry Risk/Reward Index
Sub-Saharan Africa Risk/Reward Index
Table: Sub-Saharan Africa Food & Drink Risk/Reward Index Q215
Table: Sub-Saharan Africa Food & Drink Risk/Reward Sub-Factor Index, Q215 (scores out of 10)
Market Overview
East Africa Market Overview
Industry Trends And Developments
East Africa Industry Trends And Developments
Table: Selected Companies - Financial Indicators
Global Industry Overview
Table: TESCO - Selected Historical Financial Indicators
Table: Food and Drink Team's Core Views
Demographic Forecast
Sudan Demographic Forecast
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Sudan 1990-2025)
Table: Key Population Ratios (Sudan 1990-2025)
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Sudan 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group (Sudan 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group % (Sudan 1990-2025)
South Sudan Demographic Forecast
Table: Population Headline Indicators (South Sudan 1990-2025)
Table: Key Population Ratios (South Sudan 1990-2025)
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (South Sudan 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group (South Sudan 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group % (South Sudan 1990-2025)
Glossary
Food & Drink
Mass Grocery Retail
Methodology
Industry Forecast Methodology
Sector-Specific Methodology
Sources
Risk/Reward Index Methodology
Table: Food & Drink Risk/Reward Index Indicators
Table: Weighting

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