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Sudan Defence and Security Report 2017

BMI View: The persistent risk of war with South Sudan, as well as threats posed by the conflict in Darfurand insurgency in the South Kordofan and Blue Nile states, will continue to drive growth in Sudanesemilitary spending over the next few years; however, sanctions placed against the government prevent mostforeign companies from exporting to the country. Sudan is among the largest military manufacturersregionally, retaining capabilities across a range of (primarily land-based) segments. That said, the localdefence industrial base remains underdeveloped on a global scale. As such, the country will continue to relyon imports for the procurement of more technologically advanced equipment over our forecast period to2026.

Defence Industry Risk/Reward Index

Sudan's security environment is facing threats from insurgents in South Kordofan and Blue Nile states,internal conflict in Darfur, the risk of war with South Sudan and political tensions. As such, demand formilitary equipment remains high, and is forecast to grow steadily over our forecast period to 2026. Thatsaid, the country is currently subject to international sanctions, which severely restrict defence imports andexports. Heightened instability, widespread corruption and low levels of economic and investment opennessmake the establishment of operations in the country a high-risk venture. Consequently, Sudan places fourthfrom bottom of our Defence Industry Risk/Reward Index for the Middle East and Africa, with an overallscore of 40 out of 100.


BMI Industry View
Table: Headline Defence Expenditure Forecasts (Sudan 2015-2020)
SWOT
Industry Forecast
Defence Expenditure
Table: Defence Expenditure (Sudan 2014-2019)
Table: Defence Expenditure (Sudan 2020-2026)
Defence Trade
Table: Sudan - Defence Agreements
Industry Risk Reward Index
Defence Industry Risk/Reward Index
Table: Middle East And Africa - Defence Industry Risk/Reward Index
Rewards
Risk
Market Overview
Defence Market Overview
Domestic Defence Sector
Domestic Defence Market
Armed Forces Overview
Armed Forces
Table: Armed Forces Personnel (Sudan 2008-2013)
Security Overview
Domestic Threats
Regional Threats
International Threats
Company Profile
MIC
Methodology
Industry Forecast Methodology
Risk/Reward Index Methodology
Sector-Specific Methodology
Table: Defence Risk/Reward Index Indicators
Weighting
Table: Weighting of Defence Risk Reward Index

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