BMI View: The persistent risk of war with South Sudan, as well as threats posed by the conflict in Darfurand insurgency in the South Kordofan and Blue Nile states, will continue to drive growth in Sudanesemilitary spending over the next few years; however, sanctions placed against the government prevent mostforeign companies from exporting to the country. Sudan is among the largest military manufacturersregionally, retaining capabilities across a range of (primarily land-based) segments. That said, the localdefence industrial base remains underdeveloped on a global scale. As such, the country will continue to relyon imports for the procurement of more technologically advanced equipment over our forecast period to2026.
Defence Industry Risk/Reward Index
Sudan's security environment is facing threats from insurgents in South Kordofan and Blue Nile states,internal conflict in Darfur, the risk of war with South Sudan and political tensions. As such, demand formilitary equipment remains high, and is forecast to grow steadily over our forecast period to 2026. Thatsaid, the country is currently subject to international sanctions, which severely restrict defence imports andexports. Heightened instability, widespread corruption and low levels of economic and investment opennessmake the establishment of operations in the country a high-risk venture. Consequently, Sudan places fourthfrom bottom of our Defence Industry Risk/Reward Index for the Middle East and Africa, with an overallscore of 40 out of 100.
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