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South West Africa Agribusiness Report Q2 2015

South West Africa Agribusiness Report Q2 2015

BMI View: We expect food security in South West Africa to improve over the short term, as we expecthigher corn production from Zambia in 2014/15. Over the medium term, we see downside risks tosugar production in the region owing a global glut of the sweetener. Even with reduced productionincentives, we expect Zambia to easily remain the region's largest corn producer and exporter, while othercountries in the region will struggle to maintain production surpluses. We believe that the potential in theAngolan sugar sector due to recent investments coming on-stream such as the Biocom production facilitywill be curbed due to the overall sluggish global prices of sugar.

Food safety standards should be improved in the near term, boosting our confidence for the sector. Indeed,the UN Food and Agriculture Organisation will focus on the improving standards for food in partnershipwith African governments such as Zambia's to ensure that manufacture adhere to standards and place foodsafety as a priority.

4.0% annually to 3.9mn tonnes. The expectation of high corn prices is likely to lead to a continued risein corn plantings in the coming years, although reduced government support is a downside productionrisk and much of this growth will be due to low base effects.


BMI Industry View
SWOT
Agribusiness
Angola - Operational Risk
Botswana - Operational Risk
Namibia - Operational Risk
Zambia - Operational Risk
Industry Forecast
Grains Outlook
Table: Angola, Botswana, Namibia, Zambia Corn Production & Consumption ('000 tonnes)
Sugar Outlook
Table: Angola And Zambia Sugar Production & Consumption, 2014-2019
Commodity Price Analysis
Monthly Softs Strategy
Table: Select Commodities - Performance & Bmi Forecasts
Monthly Grains Strategy
Table: Selected Commodities - Performance & BMI Forecasts
Upstream Analysis
Africa GM Outlook
Table: Farm Size By Region
Africa Machinery Outlook
Table: Number Of Tractors Per 1,000ha Of Arable Land
Table: Farm Size By Region (2012)
Table: South Africa - New Tractor Sales Current Market Share In 2014 (%)
Africa Fertiliser Outlook
Downstream Analysis
Angola - Food
Table: Food Consumption Indicators - Historical Data & Forecasts (Angola 2012-2019)
Angola - Drink
Table: Alcoholic Drinks Value/Volume Sales, Production & Trade - Historical Data & Forecasts (Angola 2012-2019)
Table: Soft Drinks Sales, Production & Trade (Angola 2012-2019)
Angola - Mass Grocery Retail
Table: Mass Grocery Retail Sales By Format - Historical Data & Forecasts (Angola 2012-2019)
Botswana - Food
Table: Food Consumption Indicators - Historical Data & Forecasts (Botswana 2012-2019)
Botswana - Drink
Table: Soft Drinks Sales, Production & Trade (Botswana 2012-2019)
Table: Alcoholic Drinks Value/Volume Sales, Production & Trade - Historical Data & Forecasts (Botswana 2012-2019)
Botswana - Mass Grocery Retail
Table: Mass Grocery Retail Sales By Format - Historical Data & Forecasts (Botswana 2012-2019)
Namibia - Food
Table: Food Consumption Indicators - Historical Data & Forecasts (Namibia 2012-2019)
Namibia - Drink
Alcoholic Drinks
Table: Alcoholic Drinks Value/Volume Sales, Production & Trade - Historical Data & Forecasts (Namibia 2014-2019)
Namibia - Mass Grocery Retail
Table: Mass Grocery Retail Sales By Format - Historical Data & Forecasts (Namibia 2014-2019)
Zambia - Food
Table: Food Consumption Indicators - Historical Data & Forecasts (Zambia 2012-2019)
Zambia - Mass Grocery Retail
Table: Mass Grocery Retail Sales By Format - Historical Data & Forecasts (Zambia 2012-2019)
Regional Overview
Middle East & Africa Regional Overview
Table: Foreign Investment In Africa's Palm Oil Sector
Demographic Forecast
Demographic Outlook
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Angola 1990-2025)
Table: Key Population Ratios (Angola 1990-2025)
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Angola 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group (Angola 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group % (Angola 1990-2025)
Demographic Outlook
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Botswana 1990-2025)
Table: Key Population Ratios (Botswana 1990-2025)
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Botswana 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group (Botswana 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group % (Botswana 1990-2025)
Demographic Forecast
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Namibia 1990-2025)
Table: Key Population Ratios (Namibia 1990-2025)
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Namibia 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group (Namibia 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group % (Namibia 1990-2025)
Demographic Forecast
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Zambia 1990-2025)
Table: Key Population Ratios (Zambia 1990-2025)
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Zambia 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group (Zambia 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group % (Zambia 1990-2025)
Methodology
Industry Forecast Methodology
Sector-Specific Methodology

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