South Africa Telecommunications Report Q4 2017

BMI View:

We have made a number of forecast adjustments and upgraded our 3G/4G outlook on the backof sustained operator investments. Nevertheless, our core view remains unchanged as the market performsin line with BMI forecasts. Mobile and wireline data services offer the best growth opportunities in themarket and we believe Liquid Telecom's expected entry will prompt further consolidation among the arrayof independent wholesale fibre operators that have entered the market in the last few years. The keydeterminant in how the broadband market develops is the government and how it executes its plan toallocate all high value LTE spectrum to a national wholesale operator. Only a robust access regime canensure success and the regulator is yet to convince it can manage this aspect of the service paradigm.

Latest Updates & Industry Developments

The main source of future growth in the mobile market will be the development of 3G and 4G services,with Vodacom, MTN and Telkom all reporting very strong take-up of LTE services.

BMI Industry View
Industry Forecast
Latest Updates
Structural Trends
Table: Telecoms Sector - Historical Data And Forecasts (South Africa 2014-2021)
Industry Risk Reward Index
Sub-Saharan Africa Risk/Reward Index
Table: Sub-Saharan Africa - Telecoms Risk/Rewards Index, Q4 2017
South Africa Risk/Reward Index
Market Overview
Market Drivers & Trends
Wireline Voice & Broadband
Table: Telkom Fixed Telephony Access Lines ('000)
Regulatory Development
Regulatory Overview
Table: National Broadband Policy Access Targets
Competitive Landscape
Table: Key Players
Table: Mobile Market Overview
Table: MTN
Table: Vodacom
Table: Cell
Table: Telkom Mobile
Table: Telkom Fixed
Company Profile
Cell C
Demographic Forecast
Demographic Outlook
Table: Population Headline Indicators (South Africa 1990-2025)
Table: Key Population Ratios (South Africa 1990-2025)
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (South Africa 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group (South Africa 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group % (South Africa 1990-2025)
Table: Glossary of Terms
Industry Forecast Methodology
Risk/Reward Index Methodology
Table: Risk/Reward Index Indicators
Table: Weighting Of Indicators

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