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South Africa Telecommunications Report Q2 2016

South Africa Telecommunications Report Q2 2016

BMI View: We continue to maintain our core forecast for the South African market and retain our positiveoutlook for 2016. The market has so far performed beyond our expectations, adding over 6mn subscribersin 9M15. Furthermore, the uptake of 3G and LTE services is in line with our recent revisions. We dohowever caution that with penetration rate inching towards 170%, there is a high likelihood of a significantnumber of inactive sims connections that have not been discounted. A major discounting by operators willlead us to revise our forecasts. Furthermore, we are carefully monitoring the competitive dynamics of theSouth African mobile market as we believe 2016 will be the year of major consolidation as fixed lineprovider Telkom South Africa looks to acquire major wireless provider Cell C and Vodacom looks toacquire ISP provider Neotel.

The South African mobile market grew higher than forecasted in 9M15 as the market addedimpressive 6mn+ subscribers. We believe that the market will end our current forecast period, 2020with over 94mn subscribers.

BMI Industry View
Latest Updates & Industry Developments
Industry Forecast
Latest Updates
Structural Trends
Table: Telecoms Sector - Historical Data & Forecasts (South Africa 2013-2020)
Industry Risk Reward Index
Industry Risk Reward Ratings
Table: Regional RRI Comparison, Q216
Table: Sub-Saharan Africa Risk/Reward Index, Q2 2016
South Africa Industry Risk Reward Index
Market Overview
Market Drivers & Trends
Wireline Voice & Broadband
Table: Telkom Fixed Telephony Access Lines ('000)
Table: Telkom Internet Subscriptions
Table: Recent Fibre Developments
Regulatory Development
Table: South Africa - Regulatory Bodies And Their Responsibilities
Latest Developments
Table: National Broadband Policy Access Targets
Competitive Landscape
Table: Key Players
Operator Data
Table: Market Overview 2013-2015
Table: Vodacom
Table: MTN
Table: Cell C
Table: 8ta - Telkom South Africa
Table: Virgin Mobile
Company Profile
Cell C
Demographic Forecast
Demographic Outlook
Table: Population Headline Indicators (South Africa 1990-2025)
Table: Key Population Ratios (South Africa 1990-2025)
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (South Africa 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group (South Africa 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group % (South Africa 1990-2025)
Table: Glossary Of Terms
Industry Forecast Methodology
Risk/Reward Index Methodology
Table: Risk/Reward Index Indicators
Table: Weighting Of Indicators

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