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South Africa Freight Transport and Shipping Report Q2 2016

South Africa Freight Transport and Shipping Report Q2 2016

BMI View: We envisage healthy growth across the South African freight modes in 2016, despite challenging external and domestic headwinds over the course of the next 12 months, in particular the eurozone crisis and the economic slowdown in China. We expect that growth in rail freight volumes will accelerate in 2016, thanks to a somewhat brighter outlook for the coal mining sector, while road freight will outperform across the modes. Latest Updates And Forecasts

Road freight is set to be the outperforming freight mode in 2016, with tonnage growth coming in at 4.6% y-o-y.

There has been increasing labour unrest in South Africa over the past several years and since the 2012 Marikana massacre, in particular. We believe this could affect volumes exported through South African ports and thus potentially have quite a detrimental impact on volumes handled at the country's main facilities.

2016 total trade real growth is forecast at 4.3%, while in nominal terms, growth will contract by 5.4% to USD195.6bn.


BMI Industry View
Table: Trade Overview (South Africa 2013-2020)
SWOT
Freight Transport and Shipping SWOT
Industry Forecast
Trade Forecast
Table: Trade Overview (South Africa 2013-2020)
Table: Key Trade Indicators (South Africa 2013-2020)
Table: Main Import Partners
Table: Main Export Partners
Road Freight Forecast
Table: Road Freight (South Africa 2013-2020)
Rail Freight Forecast
Table: Rail Freight (South Africa 2013-2020)
Air Freight Forecast
Table: Air Freight (South Africa 2013-2020)
Shipping Forecast
Table: Major Ports Data (South Africa 2013-2020)
Market Overview
Company Profile
Transnet Freight Rail (TFR)
Grindrod
Demographic Forecast
Demographic Outlook
Table: Population Headline Indicators (South Africa 1990-2025)
Table: Key Population Ratios (South Africa 1990-2025)
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (South Africa 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group (South Africa 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group % (South Africa 1990-2025)
Methodology
Industry Forecast Methodology
Sector-Specific Methodology
Sources

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