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South Africa Freight Transport and Shipping Report Q4 2017

BMI View: In the context of sluggish economic growth, weak commodity prices and depressed businessactivity, we anticipate trade to modestly grow over the medium term. Lacklustre trade forecasts will restraingrowth across all freight modes. Road freight will be the only bright spot across all freight modes. Demandfor containerised goods underpinned by resilient consumer demand will support road, rail and shippingfreight. Weak long term growth fundamentals will continue to be a challenge, with growth only expected toimprove significantly in the long term.

Key Updates And Forecasts

We forecast trade to grow at an average annual growth rate of 0.8% over the medium term, which is slowercompared to the 5 year trailing average of 2.2% real growth. In nominal terms, growth will average 3.8%over the medium term to reach USD213.1bn in 2021 from USD178.5bn in 2016. Growth will be importdriven, with exports expected to grow sideways, in real terms. Imports are set to expand at an average of2.1% annually over the medium term while exports are forecasted to shrink annually by 0.5%.


BMI Industry View
SWOT
Freight Transport & Shipping SWOT
Industry Forecast
Trade Forecast
Latest Updates
Table: Trade Overview (South Africa 2014-2021)
Table: Key Trade Indicators (South Africa 2014-2021)
Table: Main Import Partners
Table: Main Export Partners
Road Freight Forecast
Latest Updates
Structural Trends
Table: Road Freight (South Africa 2014-2021)
Rail Freight Forecast
Latest Updates
Structural Trends
Table: Rail Freight (South Africa 2014-2021)
Air Freight Forecast
Latest Updates
Structural Trends
Table: Air Freight (South Africa 2014-2021)
Shipping Forecast
Latest Updates
Structural Trends
Table: Major Ports Data (South Africa 2014-2021)
Market Overview
Company Profile
Grindrod
Transnet Freight Rail (TFR)
Demographic Forecast
Demographic Outlook
Table: Population Headline Indicators (South Africa 1990-2025)
Table: Key Population Ratios (South Africa 1990-2025)
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (South Africa 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group (South Africa 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group % (South Africa 1990-2025)
Methodology
Industry Forecast Methodology
Sector-Specific Methodology
Sources

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