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South Africa Agribusiness Report Q2 2016

South Africa Agribusiness Report Q2 2016

BMI View: We continue to hold a mixed outlook for the South African agricultural market as a whole. Bothcorn and wheat will be hit by severe drought and the effects of El Niño, but we do expect grains to reboundover the course of our forecast period. Furthermore, livestock production and sugar consumption will bothembark on a positive trajectory. Over the medium term, a weak rand, weather volatility and falling farmincomes will exert downward pressures on the market. However, economic growth, increasing demand anda higher population with more discretionary spending power will be boosts for growth.

Key Forecasts

Corn production will take another year of heavy losses in 2015/16 due to severe drought, declining by anadditional 25.9% y-o-y to reach 8.0mn tonnes.

Sugar production will decline by 20.2% to reach 1.75mn tonnes in 2015/16, as El Niño and severeregional weather droughts hit output.

Poultry production will reach 1.3mn tonnes in 2015/16, representing a y-o-y increase of 1.2%.

Pork production will rise by 2.1% in 2016 to reach 245,000 tonnes, while consumption will see a rise to306,000 tonnes.


BMI Industry View
SWOT
Agribusiness
Industry Forecast
Sugar Outlook
Table: South Africa - Sugar Production & Consumption Outlook
Table: Risks to Outlook
Table: Sugar Consumption & Production (South Africa 2012-2020)
Rice Outlook
Table: South Africa - Rice Consumption Outlook
Table: Risks to Outlook
Table: Rice Consumption (South Africa 2012-2020)
Grains Outlook
Table: South Africa - Grains Production & Consumption Outlook
Table: Risks To Outlook
Table: Grains Production & Consumption (South Africa 2013-2020)
Livestock Outlook
Table: South Africa - Livestock Production & Consumption Outlook
Table: Risks To Outlook
Table: Livestock Production & Consumption (South Africa 2012-2020)
Commodities Price Analysis
Global Commodities Strategy
Table: Select Commodities - Performance And BMI Forecasts
Upstream Analysis
Africa GM Outlook
Table: Farm Size By Region
Africa Machinery Outlook
Table: How Africa Compares With Other Regions
Table: Farm Size By Region (2012)
Africa Fertiliser Outlook
Downstream Analysis
Food
Food Consumption
Latest Updates
Structural Trends
Table: Food Consumption Indicators - Historical Data & Forecasts (South Africa 2012-2019)
Confectionery
Table: Confectionery Value/Volume Sales, Production & Trade - Historical Data & Forecasts (South Africa 2012-2019)
Meat
Table: Meat Volume Sales, Production & Trade - Historical Data & Forecast (South Africa 2014-2019)
Other Prepared Foods
Table: Jams & Jellies Volume Sales, Production & Trade - Historical Data & Forecast (South Africa 2014-2019)
Oils & Fats
Table: Oils and Fats Value/Volume Sales, Production & Trade - Historical Data & Forecasts (South Africa 2014-2019)
Dairy
Table: Dairy Volume Sales, Production & Trade - Historical Data & Forecasts (South Africa 2014-2019)
Regional Overview
Middle East & Africa Regional Overview
Competitive Landscape
Table: Main Agribusiness Companies
Demographic Forecast
Demographic Outlook
Table: Population Headline Indicators (South Africa 1990-2025)
Table: Key Population Ratios (South Africa 1990-2025)
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (South Africa 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group (South Africa 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group % (South Africa 1990-2025)
Methodology
Industry Forecast Methodology
Sector-Specific Methodology

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