Slovakia Freight Transport Report 2016

Slovakia Freight Transport Report 2016

BMI View: We forecast growth in the freight sector despite the fact that Slovakia's economy is facingsignificant headwinds from waning growth momentum in developed eurozone states, which will poseproblems for Slovakia's freight mix going forward into 2016. Air freight will show the strongest growth overthe next year due to continued consumer spending, followed by rail freight strengthened by infrastructureinvestment, and inland waterways continuing to grow, but at a slower pace than in 2015. Road freight willcontinue to post the slowest growth, as rail and inland waterways are taking over some of the momentum.

GDP growth in Slovakia is forecast at 3.2% in 2016, up from 3.1% estimated for 2015. The acceleration inGDP over the last two years has been driven primarily by a recovery in the domestic demand. Exportgrowth will remain robust on the back of a eurozone recovery, but rising import volumes will mitigate itsimpact on headline GDP. Economic growth in the coming years will be well balanced as exports aresupported by a eurozone recovery. The export-oriented manufacturing sector is a significant employer in theeconomy, and its success will be vital in sustaining the recovery in private consumption. However, a levelof uncertainty over the macroeconomic climate will impact private sector confidence and serve as adownside risk for freight, not just in Slovakia, but in most countries in Europe.

BMI Industry View
Freight Transport
Operational Risk
Industry Forecast
Trade Forecast
Table: Trade Overview (Slovakia 2012-2019)
Table: Key Trade Indicators (Slovakia 2012-2019)
Road Freight Forecast
Table: Road Freight (Slovakia 2012-2019)
Rail Freight Forecast
Table: Rail Freight (Slovakia 2012-2019)
Air Freight Forecast
Table: Air Freight (Slovakia 2012-2019)
Market Overview
Company Profile
ZSSK Cargo
Political Outlook
Long-Term Politics
Table: Slovakia Politics Table
Domestic Politics
Oil Price Outlook
Europe - Brent On Board For A Bumpy Ride
Macroeconomic Forecasts
Economic Analysis
Table: Slovakia - Private Consumption Forecasts
Table: Slovakia - Public Consumption Forecasts
Table: Slovakia - Fixed Investment Forecast
Table: Slovakia - Net Export Forecasts
Demographic Forecast
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Slovakia 1990-2025)
Table: Key Population Ratios (Slovakia 1990-2025)
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Slovakia 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group (Slovakia 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group % (Slovakia 1990-2025)
Industry Forecast Methodology
Sector-Specific Methodology

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