Singapore Freight Transport Report Q2 2015

Singapore Freight Transport Report Q2 2015

BMI View: Our forecasts for freight transport volumes through the major Singapore facilities of ChangiInternational Airport and the port of Singapore are positive, reflecting a broadly positive domestic andglobal macroeconomic environment. Singapore's role as a global transhipment hub is both a blessing and acurse, with volumes prone to declining in times of global recession, but at present we expect that thecountry will benefit from relatively solid demand from key markets in Europe, where falling oil prices willsupport consumer demand growth. That said, the growth will be fairly lacklustre, especially in terms of airfreight, and there remain salient downside risks, not least a slowing Chinese economy.

Headline Industry Data

2015 air freight tonnage through Changi International Airport to grow 1.1% to 1.87mn tonnes after anexpansion of 0.3% in 2014. Growth over our forecast period (2015-2019) to average 1.2% a year to1.96mn tonnes.

The port of Singapore's gross tonnage will grow by 5.3% in 2015 to 611.57mn tonnes, with averageannual growth at 5.4% during our forecast period to 755.48mn tonnes.

The country's overall trade will grow by 4.4% in real terms in 2015, to average 4.3% to 2019.

BMI Industry View
Freight Transport
Operational Risk
Industry Forecast
Air Freight
Table: Air Freight (Singapore 2012-2019)
Table: Maritime Freight (Singapore 2012-2019)
Road Freight
Table: Trade Overview (Singapore 2012-2019)
Table: Key Trade Indicators (Singapore 2012-2019)
Table: Singapore's Top Import Sources, 2006-2013 (USDmn)
Table: Singapore's Top Export Destinations, 2006-2013 (USDmn)
Market Overview
Company Profile
Singapore Airlines Cargo (SIA Cargo)
Pacific International Lines (PIL)
Pacific Carriers Limited (PCL)
Political Outlook
Domestic Politics
Competitiveness Concerns
Global Weakness Also To Weigh
Long-Term Political Outlook
Table: Political Overview
Oil Price Outlook
Global - Crude Oil, Refined Fuels And Natural Gas Prices, 10-year Forecasts
Table: Energy Price Forecasts (Global 2013-2018)
Table: Energy Price Forecasts (Global 2019-2024)
Macroeconomic Forecasts
Economic Analysis
MAS Keeps SGD On Moderate Appreciatory Path
Demographic Forecast
Demographic Outlook
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Singapore 1990-2025)
Table: Key Population Ratios (Singapore 1990-2025)
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Singapore 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group (Singapore 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group % (Singapore 1990-2025)
Industry Forecast Methodology
Sector-Specific Methodology

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