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Serbia Insurance Report Q2 2016

Serbia Insurance Report Q2 2016

BMI View: Growth in Serbia's insurance market is expected to gather pace over the forecast period from2016 to 2020. Although one of the smallest markets in region, the country is home to a number of domesticand regional providers, and significant progress is being made in terms of broadening distribution channelsand developing a more robust product offering. We expect to see the strongest growth in the small lifesector, though we do note that low average household income rates continue to constrain growth potential.

Key Updates And Forecasts

Serbia continues to improve its regulatory environment. A new insurance law came into effect in 2015under which all life and non-life insurance companies must operate as separate entities. Compositeproviders are required to separate their life and non-life businesses. Serbia is also enhancing capitalisationrequirements, more in line with the EU-wide introduction of Solvency II regulations

The life insurance sector is expected to see the strongest growth during the forecast period, from 2016 to2020, driven by an improvement in the currently high unemployment rate (of around 20%) as well asincreases in average household income levels. Life premiums are forecast to grow by an average of10.6% (in local currency terms) annually during the forecast period.

The much larger non-life sector is expected to record slower annual growth of around 4.1% annuallybetween 2016 and 2020. In part this is due to the saturation of the dominant motor and property insurancelines, with the strongest growth expected in the smallest lines, such as credit and financial guaranteeinsurance.

BMI Industry View
Table: Headline Insurance Forecasts (Serbia 2013-2020)
Industry Forecast
Life Premiums Forecast
Table: Life Premiums (Serbia 2013-2020)
Table: Life Insurance Claims (Serbia 2008-2014)
Non-Life Premiums Forecast
Table: Non-Life Premiums (Serbia 2013-2020)
Table: Non-Life Insurance Claims (Serbia 2009-2014)
Non-Life Sub-Sector Forecast
Table: Non-Life Insurance Premiums by Product Line (Serbia 2013-2020)
Industry Risk Reward Ratings
Emerging Europe Risk/Reward Index
Table: Emerging Europe Insurance Risk/Reward Index - Q216
Market Overview
Life Insurance Market Overview
The Product Offering
Competitive Landscape
Table: Serbia Life Insurance Market Share, 2007-2014 (USDmn)
Non-Life Insurance Market Overview
The Product Offering
The Competitive Landscape
Table: Serbia Non Life Insurance Market, 2007-2014 (USDmn)
Company Profile
DDOR Novi Sad
Dunav Insurance Company
Vienna Insurance Group (VIG)
Industry Forecast Methodology
Risk/Reward Index Methodology
Table: Indicators
Table: Weighting of Indicators

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