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Serbia Food and Drink Report Q2 2015


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Serbia Food and Drink Report Q2 2015

BMI View: A series of planned austerity measures and high unemployment will continue to weigh ondomestic demand in Serbia during 2015. The austerity measures entail reducing the size of the public sector(which accounts for close to one-fifth of the workforce), together with public sector wage and pension cuts,which will severely reduce disposable income and weigh on households' consumption sentiment. Asputtering recovery in the eurozone, and a looming recession in Russia will suppress exports, prompting usto forecast economic contraction for Serbia for 2015 of 0.7%. We are forecasting overall householdconsumption to contract by 1.0% in 2015 and also forecast total food consumption in Serbia to expand byonly a modest 1.1% in local currency terms over the same period.

Headline Industry Data (local currency):

Total food consumption growth year-on-year (y-o-y) in 2015: +1.1%; compound annual growth rate(CAGR) to 2019: +1.9%

Alcoholic drinks sales growth (y-o-y) in 2015: +1.1%; CAGR to 2019: +1.9%

Soft drinks sales growth (y-o-y) in 2015: +1.8%; CAGR to 2019: +8.5%

Total mass grocery sales growth (y-o-y) in 2015: +2.8%; CAGR to 2019: +4.7%


BMI Industry View
SWOT
Food
Drink
Mass Grocery Retail
Industry Forecast
Consumer Outlook
Food
Food Consumption
Table: Food Consumption Indicators - Historical Data & Forecasts (Serbia 2012-2019)
Confectionery
Table: Confectionery Value/Volume Sales, Production & Trade - Historical Data & Forecasts (Serbia 2012-2019)
Snack Foods
Table: Sweet Biscuits Volume Sales, Production & Trade - Historical Data & Forecasts (Serbia 2012-2019)
Meat
Table: Meat Volume Sales, Production & Trade - Historical Data & Forecast (Serbia 2012-2019)
Dairy
Table: Dairy Volume Sales, Production & Trade - Historical Data & Forecasts (Serbia 2012-2019)
Pasta
Table: Pasta Volume Sales, Production & Trade - Historical Data & Forecasts (Serbia 2012-2019)
Drink
Alcoholic Drinks
Table: Alcoholic Drinks Value/Volume Sales, Production & Trade - Historical Data & Forecasts (Serbia 2012-2019)
Soft Drinks
Table: Soft Drinks Sales, Production & Trade - Historical Data & Forecasts (Serbia 2012-2019)
Hot Drinks
Table: Hot Drink Value/Volume Sales, Production & Trade - Historical Data & Forecasts (Serbia 2012-2019)
Mass Grocery Retail
Table: Mass Grocery Retail Sales By Format - Historical Data & Forecasts (Serbia 2012-2019)
Table: Mass Grocery Retail Sales Breakdown By Retail Format (% of total)
Trade
Table: Trade Balance - Historical Data & Forecasts (Serbia 2012-2019)
Macroeconomic Forecast
Economic Analysis
Industry Risk Reward Index
Central And Eastern Europe - Risk/Reward Index
Table: Central & Eastern Europe Food & Drink Risk/Reward Index Q215
Serbia Risk/Reward Index
Market Overview
Food
Food Consumption
Food Production
Leading Players
Confectionery
Canned Food
Trade
Agriculture
Dairy Production
Sugar Production
Drink
Beer
Spirits
Wine
Soft Drinks
Hot Drinks
Mass Grocery Retail
Table: Mass Grocery Retail Sales By Format (Serbia 2005-2010)
Table: Mass Grocery Retail Sales By Format (Serbia 2005-2010)
Industry Trends And Developments
Food
Key Industry Trends And Developments
Drink
Key Industry Trends And Developments
Mass Grocery Retail
Key Industry Trends And Developments
Competitive Landscape
Table: Key Players In Serbia's Food & Drink Sector
Table: Key Players In Serbia's Mass Grocery Retail Sector
Company Profile
Bambi
Mondi Serbia
Mladost-Sid
Sunoko
Coca-Cola/IBP Beograd AD
Beogradska Industrija Piva (BIP)
Carlsberg Serbia/Pivara Celarevo
Apatinska Pivara
Arteska International Company
BB Minaqua
Knjaz Miloš
Mercator
Veropoulos
Delhaize/Delta Holding
Metro
Global Industry Overview
Table: TESCO - Selected Historical Financial Indicators
Table: Food and Drink Team's Core Views
Demographic Forecast
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Serbia 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group (Serbia 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group % (Serbia 1990-2025)
Glossary
Food & Drink
Mass Grocery Retail
Methodology
Industry Forecast Methodology
Sector-Specific Methodology
Sources
Risk/Reward Index Methodology
Table: Food & Drink Risk/Reward Index Indicators
Table: Weighting

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