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Russia Shipping Report Q1 2016

Russia Shipping Report Q1 2016

BMI View: BMI forecasts a return to growth in Russia's shipping sector in 2016, after contractions in grosstonnage and severe losses in container shipping we estimate the country saw in 2015. The country's widereconomy will also fare better in 2016 as imports see a robust return to positive growth while exports see amore modest gain. Infrastructure investments at the country's two largest ports of Novorossiysk and StPetersburg will expand capacity over the medium term, which bodes well for shipping volumes if theeconomy can stabilise on its current, tentative growth.

In 2015 Russian shipping volumes saw substantial contractions from mostly positive port estimates in 2014.

At the port of Novorossiysk gross tonnage fell to negative 5.0% growth in 2015, while the port of StPetersburg saw its overall tonnage fall by 7.0%. These losses were outstripped by contractions in containervolumes, as a depreciating rouble, slowdown in the Russian economy and a sharp dip in real privateconsumption took a toll. While real private consumption dropped by 8.4% y-o-y, box handling at the port ofSt Petersburg fell by 19.2% and at Novorossiysk even further by 30.5%.


BMI Industry View
SWOT
Shipping
Political
Economic
Operational Risk
Industry Forecast
Port Of St Petersburg Throughput
Port Of Novorossiysk Throughput
Table: Major Ports Data (Russia 2012-2019)
Table: Trade Overview (Russia 2012-2019)
Table: Key Trade Indicators (Russia 2012-2019)
Table: Top Import Partners, 2006-2013 (USDmn)
Table: Top Export Destinations, 2006-2013
Market Overview
Russia Container Shipping Market Overview
Table: Global Port Operators With Exposure To The Russian Container Terminal Sector
Russia Company Profile
FESCO Transportation Group
Murmansk Shipping Company (MSC)
Primorsk Shipping Corporation (PRISCO)
Sovcomflot (SCF Group)
Shipping - Global Industry View
Bright Spot For Shipping: Low Bunker Prices
Table: BMI Bunker Fuel (IFO180 & MGO) Price Forecast
Short-Term Outlook (three-to-six months)
Long-Term Outlook
Risks To Outlook
Global Company Strategy
Maersk Line
Mediterranean Shipping Company (MSC)
CMA CGM
Evergreen Line
COSCO Container Lines Company (COSCON)
Macroeconomic Forecasts
Economic Analysis
Demographic Forecast
Demographic Outlook
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Russia 1990-2025)
Table: Key Population Ratios (Russia 1990-2025)
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Russia 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group (Russia 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group % (Russia 1990-2025)

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