Russia Retail Report Q2 2016

Russia Retail Report Q2 2016

BMI View: The Russian economy shrunk by a sharp 3.7% during 2015, in part due to continued low oilprices and the hit from Western sanctions. Together with high levels of inflation, which reached 12.9% lastyear, we expect the retail sector to struggle. Russia has already seen its investment levels stall while the riskprofile has deteriorated and we believe this will act to suppress growth throughout all the retail sectorsuntil at least 2017 .

Key Views & Developments

We expect household consumption to begin to improve following a sharp decline between 2013-2015.Growth will be slow, however, owing to a weakened economy and high levels of inflation. We do notexpect USD household spending to return to the levels achieved during 2013.

BMI Industry View
Industry Forecast
Headline Retail Forecast
Table: Total Household Spending (Russia 2013-2020)
Table: Retail Sector Spending, % Of Total (Russia 2013-2020)
Table: Retail Sector Spending, % of GDP (Russia 2013-2020)
Table: Headline Retail Sector Spending (Russia 2013-2020)
Retail Sector Forecast
Food, Drinks And Tobacco
Table: Food, Drink & Tobacco Spending (Russia 2013-2020)
Clothing And Footwear
Table: Clothing & Footwear Spending (Russia 2013-2020)
Household Goods
Table: Household Goods Spending (Russia 2013-2020)
Personal Care And Effects
Table: Personal Care Spending (Russia 2013-2020)
Household Numbers and Income Forecast
Table: Household Income Data (Russia 2013-2020)
Table: Labour Market Data (Russia 2013-2020)
Demographic Forecast
Table: Total Population (Russia 2013-2020)
Table: Population: Babies (Russia 2013-2020)
Table: Population: Young Children (Russia 2013-2020)
Table: Population: Children (Russia 2013-2020)
Table: Population: Young Teens and Older Children (Russia 2013-2020)
Table: Population: Young People (Russia 2013-2020)
Table: Population: Older Teenagers (Russia 2013-2020)
Table: Population: 21yrs + (Russia 2013-2020)
Table: Population: Young Adults (Russia 2013-2020)
Table: Population: Middle Aged (Russia 2013-2020)
Table: Population: Urban (Russia 2013-2020)
Industry Risk Reward Index
Central And Eastern Europe Risk/Reward Index
Table: Central And Eastern Europe Retail Risk/Reward Index, Q216
Russia - Risk/Reward Index
Market Overview
Competitive Landscape
Clothing and Footwear
Table: Table: Major clothing and footwear retailers
Household Goods
Table: Household Goods Retailers
Table: Major Electronics Retailers
Department Stores
Table: Major Department Stores
Table: Major E-commerce Companies
Pharmacies And Personal Care
Table: Major Pharmacies retailers
Industry Forecast Methodology
Risk/Reward Index Methodology
Table: Retail Risk/Reward Index Indicators
Table: Weighting Of Indicators

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