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Russia Petrochemicals Report Q4 2015

Russia Petrochemicals Report Q4 2015

BMI View: A number of petrochemicals projects have been pushed back due to the economic crisisaffecting Russia. New polymer plants are planned, although no major expansion is planned in 2015. Somedelays have been accompanied by revisions in planned capacities, often upward revisions. These planscould be revised further, depending on the depth and longevity of the country's economic recession. In turn,this will be affected by political events, notably the Ukraine crisis which has prompted EU and USsanctions against Russia.

The drop in the price of oil to around USD50 per barrel and the effects of Western sanctions imposed onRussia over its actions in Ukraine will cause significant turmoil for the Russian petrochemicals industry.

Petrochemicals producers are now facing the prospect of negative growth rates over coming quarters andpossible delay or cancellation of major expansion projects in the medium term. The economic fall-out fromsanctions is bound to affect Russian petrochemicals consumption with imports likely to feel the brunt in theshort term.

BMI Industry View
Operational Risk
Industry Forecast
Table: Russia - Petrochemicals Historical Data & Forecasts, 2012-2019
Macroeconomic Forecast
Economic Analysis
Table: Economic Activity (Russia 2010-2019)
Industry Risk/Reward Ratings
Europe Petrochemicals Risk/Reward Index
Russia and Ukraine Under Pressure
Table: European Petrochemicals Risk/Reward Index (scores out of 100)
Russia Petrochemicals Risk/Reward Index
Market Overview
Government policy
Table: Cracker Capacity Data - Historical Data & Forecasts ('000 tpa)
Industry Trends And Developments
Company Profile
Sibur Holding
Table: Financial Highlights (RUBmn, Unless Stated Otherwise)
Table: Financial Results (USDmn)
Nizhnekamskneftekhim (NKNK)
Table: Financial Results (RUBmn)
Regional Overview
Energy Prices And Greek Crisis Will Determine Margins
Trouble In The East
Global Industry Overview
Could US Gas Run out?
Project Curtailments
Medium-term Outlook
Global - Crude Oil, Refined Fuels And Natural Gas Prices, 10-Year Forecasts
Table: Energy Price Forecasts (Global 2013-2018)
Table: Energy Price Forecasts (Global 2019-2024)
Demographic Forecast
Demographic Outlook
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Russia 1990-2025)
Table: Key Population Ratios (Russia 1990-2025)
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Russia 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group (Russia 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group % (Russia 1990-2025)
Table: Glossary Of Petrochemicals Terms
Industry Forecast Methodology
Risk/Reward Index Methodology
Table: Petrochemicals Risk/Reward Index Indicators
Table: Weighting Of Indicators

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