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Russia Petrochemicals Report Q2 2016

Russia Petrochemicals Report Q2 2016

The Russian petrochemicals industry saw robust output growth as a result of the depreciation of the roubleand the decline in naphtha feedstock costs. However, growth will come under pressure in 2016 due to asluggish recovery in domestic end-markets.

Basic chemicals production rose 6.3% year-on-year (y-o-y) in 2015 with all segments witnessing increases.

According to the Federal State Statistics Service of the Russian Federation, production of ethylene exceeded2.79mn tonnes, up 16.4% y-o-y. However, Russia's petrochemicals sector also suffers from structuralinefficiencies which have deterred investment, particularly in the country's oriented production. Challengesinclude the country's manufacturing sector, which is not competitive without the presence of governmentincentives. Importantly, we do not expect such hurdles to be cleared in the short-to-medium term, resultingin a subdued outlook for the country's export-led industries.

In 2016, the construction sector is due to contract by 1.2%, while the automotive industry will see outputdecline 3.1% following heavy slumps in 2015. With these sectors playing a critical role in thepetrochemicals markets, they will impact heavily on domestic petrochemicals production across a widevariety of segments.


BMI Industry View
SWOT
Political
Economic
Operational Risk
Industry Forecast
Table: Russia - Petrochemicals Historical Data & Forecasts, 2012-2020
Macroeconomic Forecast
Economic Analysis
Industry Risk/Reward Index
Europe Petrochemicals Risk/Reward Index
Table: European Petrochemicals Risk/Reward Index (scores out of 100)
Russia Petrochemicals Risk/Reward Index
Market Overview
Table: Cracker Capacity Data - Historical Data & Forecasts ('000 tpa)
Industry Trends And Developments
Fertiliser
Upstream
Company Profile
Sibur Holding
Table: Financial Highlights (RUBmn, Unless Stated Otherwise)
Lukoil
Table: Financial Results (USDmn)
Nizhnekamskneftekhim (NKNK)
Table: Financial Results (RUBmn)
Regional Overview
Plant Turnarounds
Table: Europe Plant Turnarounds
Global Industry Overview
Global - Crude Oil, Refined Fuels And Natural Gas Prices
Table: Global Energy Price Forecasts (2014-2019)
Table: Global Energy Price Forecasts (2020-2025)
Demographic Forecast
Demographic Outlook
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Russia 1990-2025)
Table: Key Population Ratios (Russia 1990-2025)
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Russia 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group (Russia 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group % (Russia 1990-2025)
Glossary
Table: Glossary Of Petrochemicals Terms
Methodology
Industry Forecast Methodology
Risk/Reward Index Methodology
Table: Petrochemicals Risk/Reward Index Indicators
Table: Weighting Of Indicators

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