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Russia Oil and Gas Report Q2 2016

BMI Industry View
Table: Headline Forecasts (Russia 2014-2020)
SWOT
Oil & Gas SWOT
Industry Forecast
Upstream Exploration
Upstream Projects
Table: Russia - Major Upstream Projects
Upstream Production - Oil
Latest Updates
Structural Trends
Table: Russia Oil Commitments To China
Table: Oil Production (Russia 2014-2019)
Table: Oil Production (Russia 2020-2025)
Upstream Production - Gas
Latest Updates
Structural Trends
Table: Gas Production (Russia 2014-2019)
Table: Gas Production (Russia 2020-2025)
Refining
Latest Updates
Structural Trends
Table: Major Refinery Upgrades Planned And Underdevelopment
Export Duty Freeze To Reduce Refining Runs
Table: Crude And Fuel Export Duty Changes Now Frozen At 2015 Levels
Table: Refining Capacity and Refined Products Production (Russia 2014-2019)
Table: Refining Capacity and Refined Products Production (Russia 2020-2025)
Refined Fuels Consumption
Latest Updates
Structural Trends
Table: Refined Products Consumption* (Russia 2014-2019)
Table: Refined Products Consumption* (Russia 2020-2025)
Gas Consumption
Latest Updates
Structural Trends
Table: Gas Consumption (Russia 2014-2019)
Table: Gas Consumption (Russia 2020-2025)
Trade - Oil
Latest Updates
Crude Oil Trade
Structural Trends
Pivot To The East
Table: Russia - Oil Commitments To China
Table: Crude Oil Net Exports (Russia 2014-2020)
Table: Crude Oil Net Exports (Russia 2020-2025)
Refined Products Trade
Structural Trends
Table: Refined Fuels Net Exports (Russia 2014-2019)
Table: Refined Fuels Net Exports (Russia 2020-2025)
Trade - Gas (Pipeline And LNG)
Latest Updates
Change In Trade Patterns Ahead
Upside Risks To Gas Export Forecasts
LNG
Table: Gas Net Exports (Russia 2014-2019)
Table: Gas Net Exports (Russia 2020-2025)
Industry Risk Reward Index
Central And Eastern Europe Oil & Gas Risk/Reward Index
Table: CEE: High Risk, Low Reward
Table: CEE Upstream, Downstream And Overall Risk/Reward Index
Upstream: China Still The Target Market
Table: CEE Upstream Risk/Reward Index
Downstream: Turkish STAR Only Bright Spot In Weak Market
Table: CEE Downstream Risk/Reward Index
Russia Risk/Reward Index
Upstream Index - Rewards
Upstream Index - Risks
Downstream Index - Overview
Market Overview
Russia Energy Market Overview
Regulatory Structure
Fiscal Regime
Table: Export Duty
Licensing Regime
Oil & Gas Infrastructure
Oil Refineries
Table: Major Refineries - Russia
Table: Russian Refinery Upgrades
Oil Terminals/Ports
Table: Russian Oil Ports
LNG Liquefaction Terminals
Table: Current And Proposed LNG Terminals
LNG Import Terminal
Planned Oil & Gas Pipelines
Table: Major Proposed International Pipelines
Competitive Landscape
Table: Key Domestic And Foreign Companies In The Russian Oil & Gas Sector
Table: Key Upstream Players
Table: Key Downstream Players
Company Profile
Gazprom
Gazprom Neft
Rosneft
Lukoil
Novatek
Russneft
Tatneft
Total
Other Summaries
Regional Overview
Central And Eastern Europe Oil & Gas Regional Overview
Oil Production: Output Growth Stalling
Oil Consumption: Weak EM Growth Softens Demand
Refining Capacity: Modernisation Over Capacity Growth
Natural Gas Production: Gas Ramp-Up Depends On China's Hunger
Table: Central Asia-China Gas Pipeline Expansions
Gas Consumption: Demand Falters On Struggling Economies
Table: Central & Eastern Europe - Oil & Gas Production & Consumption, Refining Capacity & Trade
Glossary
Table: Glossary Of Terms
Methodology
Industry Forecast Methodology
Source
Risk/Reward Index Methodology
Table: Bmi's Oil & Gas Upstream Risk/Reward Index
Table: Weighting

Russia Oil and Gas Report Q2 2016

BMI View: Oil production outperformed in 2015, but will decline from 2016 as tax changes and sanctionslimit upstream development. Gas production, which underperformed in 2015, will improve as domestic andforeign demand pick up.

The main trends and developments we highlight for Russia's oil & gas sector are:

2015 crude and condensate production averaged a post-Soviet high of 10.716mn b/d. We forecastproduction to fall slightly in 2016.

Crude and condensate exports increased by over 400,000b/d from 2014 to 2015, though this will decreasein 2016 as production falters.


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