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Russia Information Technology Report Q3 2015

Attention: There is an updated edition available for this report.

Russia Information Technology Report Q3 2015

BMI View: We downgraded our forecast for Russian IT market growth in the Q315 update to reflect theweaker economic outlook - with recession and sharp rouble depreciation forecast to result in local currencycontraction, and a sharp fall in the IT market in US dollar terms. We expect growth to return in localcurrency terms from 2016, but accelerate from 2017 as the economic environment becomes moresupportive. There is, however, downside risk to this scenario, with political factors having the potential togenerate uncertainty, for instance data localisation requirements and the government's increased strategicvalue on achieving technological independence.

Headline Expenditure Projections

Computer Hardware Sales: RUB507.6bn in 2014 to RUB471.3bn in 2015, -7.2% in local currencyterms. Forecast downgraded in Q315 to reflect the weaker outlook for the rouble, while the fact demandwas brought forward to 2014 ahead of anticipated price increases adds to the drag on spending.

Software Sales: RUB198.1bn in 2014 to RUB196.1bn in 2015, -1.0% in local currency terms. Demandfor software from the modernisation initiatives of Russian enterprises will be met by local and globalvendors, limiting market disruption relative to hardware sales, but the decline in purchasing power andconfidence levels will mean the market contracts in 2015.

BMI Industry View
Operational Risk
Industry Forecast
Table: IT Industry - Historical Data And Forecasts (Russia 2012-2019)
Macroeconomic Forecasts
Economic Analysis
Table: Economic Activity (Russia 2010-2019)
Industry Risk Reward Ratings
Industry Risk Reward Index
Table: Europe IT RRIs, Q3 2015
Market Overview
Cloud Computing
Table: Russia Cloud Vendor Developments, 2014-2015
Industry Trends And Developments
Regulatory Development
Table: IT Authorities
Competitive Landscape
International Companies
Table: Lenovo
Table: Foxconn
Table: Huawei Technologies
Local Companies
Table: Kaspersky Lab
Company Profile
DEPO Computer
IBS Group
Table: IBS Group Sales Breakdown (USDmn)
Regional Overview
Demographic Forecast
Demographic Outlook
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Russia 1990-2025)
Table: Key Population Ratios (Russia 1990-2025)
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Russia 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group (Russia 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group % (Russia 1990-2025)
Industry Forecast Methodology
Risk/Reward Index Methodology
Table: It Risk/Reward Index Indicators
Table: Weighting Of Components

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