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Russia Food and Drink Report Q2 2016

BMI Industry View
Key Trends & Industry Developments
SWOT
Food & Drink
Industry Forecast
Consumer Outlook
Latest Updates
Structural Trends
Food
Latest Updates
Structural Trends
Table: Food Sales (Russia 2013-2020)
Drink
Latest Updates
Structural Trends
Table: Non-Alcoholic Drink Sales (Russia 2013-2020)
Mass Grocery Retail
Latest Updates
Structural Trends
Food & Drink Risk/Reward Index
Central And Eastern Europe - Risk/Reward Index
Table: Central & Eastern Europe Food & Drink Risk/Reward Index Q216
Russia Risk/Reward Index
Market Overview
Food
Recent Developments
Market Drivers & Trends
Drink
Recent Developments
Market Drivers & Trends
Mass Grocery Retail
Recent Developments
Market Drivers & Trends
Competitive Landscape
Table: Key Players In Russia's Food Sector
Table: Key Players In Russia's Drink Sector
Table: Key Players In Russia's Mass Grocery Retail Industry
Company Profile
Baltika
Magnit
PepsiCo
Unilever (Inmarko)
X5 Retail
Demographic Forecast
Demographic Outlook
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Russia 1990-2025)
Table: Key Population Ratios (Russia 1990-2025)
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Russia 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group (Russia 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group % (Russia 1990-2025)
Glossary
Food & Drink
Mass Grocery Retail
Methodology
Industry Forecast Methodology
Sector-Specific Methodology
Sources
Risk/Reward Index Methodology
Table: Food & Drink Risk/Reward Index Indicators
Table: Weighting

Russia Food and Drink Report Q2 2016

BMI View: Russia's outlook remains sluggish for 2016, as the food and drink industry will contract in realterms. While the situation will gradually improve from 2017 onwards, household incomes will remain underpressure and limit premiumisation opportunities in the industry. In addition, the operating environment willremain challenging for foreign companies.Key Trends & Industry Developments

Our consumer outlook for Russia remains weak for the next five years, with private consumption set tocontract in real terms in 2016 before slowly recovering from 2017 onwards. Household incomes willremain under pressure, limiting premiumisation opportunities in the food and drink sector.

Russia's beer industry will remain challenging over the next five years, on the back of a weak consumeroutlook and adverse regulations. This will continue to affect Carlsberg's revenue, as the company isheavily reliant on the Russian market.

We believe that the discount segment will outperform other store categories amid high levels of inflation.Leading retailers like Magnit will fare relatively better than smaller retailers, due to higher financialcapacities to resist shocks.


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