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Russia Agribusiness Report Q1 2016

Russia Agribusiness Report Q1 2016

BMI View: We have revised our Russian agribusiness outlook for our Q1 2016 report. We are nowestimating a modest rebound in the market after severe declines in the previous year due to traderestrictions. We are positive about the poultry and pork sectors of Russia, as consumer demand is growingand domestic production is looking to bridge the gap from imports. Grains consumption and production,along with rice, will both tick upwards, whereas dairy will continue to be in decline, largely as the numberof dairy cows in Russia continues decreasing. We hold the opinion that the Russian exports of grains to Asiaand its regional partners will be bolstered by a weakening rouble.

Latest Updates

Poultry production will grow by 2.8% to reach 3.65mn tonnes in 2016, whereas poultry demand willdecline by 1.1% to 3.7mn tonnes.

Pork production will rise by 5.7% in 2016, reaching 2.78mn tonnes, while pork consumption will growby 1.7% to reach 2.97mn tonnes.

Corn production is set to grow by a strong 19.2% in 2015/16 to reach 13.5mn tonnes in 2015/16. Corndemand will post another year of rapid growth as consumption will reach 9.3mn tonnes, growing by10.7% annually.

Wheat production will grow by 3.2% in 2015/16 to reach 61.0mn tonnes, whereas domestic demand willrise by 4.2% to reach 37.0mn tonnes.


BMI Industry View
SWOT
Agribusiness
Industry Forecast
Rice Outlook
Table: Russia Rice Production & Consumption Outlook
Table: Risks to Outlook
Table: Rice Production & Consumption (Russia 2011-2019)
Dairy Outlook
Table: Russia Liquid Milk Production & Consumption Outlook
Table: Russia Butter Production & Consumption Outlook
Table: Russia Cheese Production & Consumption Outlook
Table: Risks to Outlook
Table: Dairy Production & Consumption
Livestock Outlook
Table: Russia Poultry Production & Consumption Outlook
Table: Russia Pork Production & Consumption Outlook
Table: Russia Beef and Veal Production & Consumption Outlook
Table: Risks to Outlook
Table: Russia Livestock Production & Consumption
Grains Outlook
Table: Russia Corn Production & Consumption Outlook
Table: Russia Wheat Production & Consumption Outlook
Table: Barley Production & Consumption Outlook
Table: Risks to Outlook
Table: Russia Grains Production & Consumption
Commodities Forecast
Global Commodities Strategy
Table: Select Commodities - Performance And BMI Forecasts
Upstream Analysis
Europe Machinery Outlook
Table: Select Companies - Sales Forecasts By Region (Company-based estimates)
Europe GM Outlook
Europe Fertiliser Outlook
Downstream Analysis
Food
Food Consumption
Table: Food Consumption Indicators - Historical Data & Forecasts (Russia 2012-2019)
Regional Overview
Competitive Landscape
Table: Main Agribusiness Companies
Demographic Forecast
Demographic Outlook
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Russia 1990-2025)
Table: Key Population Ratios (Russia 1990-2025)
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Russia 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group (Russia 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group % (Russia 1990-2025)
Methodology
Industry Forecast Methodology
Sector-Specific Methodology

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