Romania Telecommunications Report Q2 2018
We believe organic subscription-led growth is no longer possible in the saturated Romanian mobile market, but there isscope for ARPU growth as the share of post-paid subscriptions increases. Economic growth also supports our view there will bedemand for high-value services, but at the same time Romania's loose monetary policy combined with its expansive fiscal policyraises the prospects of overheating in the economy. This does nothing to weaken our view Romania will continue to be a rapidadopter of new technology and consolidation will benefit the telecoms industry over the next 10 years. Operators will deepen theirrelationships with existing customers, maximising monetisation prospects. A paucity of high-speed wireline broadband networkshas driven 3G/4G uptake, but premium service usage is slow, souring investor appetites.
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