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Romania Agribusiness Report Q4 2017

BMI View: We maintain our view that the Romanian grains sector has high growth potential due to itscompetitiveness and exposure to the Middle East and Asia. In addition, the sector's exports will benefit fromthe abundant supply of wheat and the expected reduction of neighbouring Ukraine's export capacity of thecrop. We believe that the country's poultry sub-sector will continue to perform well across our forecastperiod to 2020/21, outperforming the rest of the livestock sector in terms of both production andconsumption, owing to strong demand from Romania's population, and strengthening in terms of productionby an average rate of 2.0% y-o-y across our forecast period. This view was reflected in the upwardsrevision we made for each full-year period between 2016/17 and 2020/21 for Romania's poultry output inour Q217 update. Elsewhere, milk production will see limited growth after the EU quota removal in March2015, while the sugar sector will moderately benefit in terms of production, which we have revised upwardslast quarter, following the removal of quotas in 2017.


BMI Industry View
SWOT
Agribusiness
Industry Forecast
Grains Outlook
Table: Romania - Grains Production And Consumption Outlook
Table: Risks To Outlook
Table: Grains Production And Consumption (Romania 2013-2021)
Dairy Outlook
Table: Romania - Dairy Production And Consumption Outlook
Table: Risks To Outlook
Table: Dairy Production And Consumption (Romania 2014-2021)
Livestock Outlook
Table: Romania - Livestock Production And Consumption Outlook
Table: Risks To Outlook
Table: Romania Livestock Production Forecasts
Table: Romania Livestock Consumption Forecasts
Sugar Outlook
Table: Romania - Sugar Production And Consumption Outlook
Table: Risks To Outlook
Table: Sugar Production and Consumption Forecasts (Romania 2012-2021)
Commodity Price Analysis
Commodities Performance And Forecasts
Table: BMI Commodities Views
Table: Select Commodities - Performance & BMI Forecasts
Upstream Analysis
Europe Machinery Outlook
Table: Select Companies - Sales Forecasts By Region (company-based estimates)
Europe GM Outlook
Europe Fertiliser Outlook
Downstream Analysis
Food
Latest Updates
Structural Trends
Table: Food Sales (Romania 2014-2021)
Regional Overview
Six Key Themes For Europe Agribusiness In 2017
Demographic Forecast
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Romania 1990-2025)
Table: Key Population Ratios (Romania 1990-2025)
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Romania 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group (Romania 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group % (Romania 1990-2025)
Methodology
Industry Forecast Methodology
Sector-Specific Methodology

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