Poland Tourism Report 2015

Poland Tourism Report 2015

BMI View: We maintain our positive outlook for the Polish tourism industry, though the combination of thecollapse in the Russian rouble and the weak euro will constrain arrivals from key markets over 2015 asmany opt to holiday domestically or remain within the currency union. Beyond 2016 we expect steadygrowth in arrivals, boosting receipts and supporting continued appetite for investment and expansion inPoland's accommodation sector.

Poland benefits from its location at the epicentre of Europe, with a large number of road and rail bordercrossings connecting it to some of its main tourism markets. The country is also boosted by its Schengenarea membership, and we expect the number of visitors arriving by road and rail to continue to grow,supported by steady investment into these transport networks. Growth in the number of hotels in Poland islikely to continue throughout our forecast period. Central and Eastern Europe is currently perceived asoffering extremely attractive investment opportunities for hotel groups and other tourist-related industries -largely due to rising domestic tourism and regional tourism, supported by an increase in higher disposableincomes. Poland also received a massive tranche of investment prior to the 2012 football championship,which will stand it in good stead over the coming years.


BMI Industry View
SWOT
Tourism
Political
Economic
Operational Risk
Industry Forecast
Inbound Tourism
Table: Inbound Tourism (Poland 2012-2019)
Table: Inbound Tourism, Top 10 Markets by Arrivals, '000 (Poland 2010-2019)
Outbound Tourism
Table: Outbound Tourism (Poland 2012-2019)
Table: Outbound Tourism, Top 10 Destinations By Departures, '000 (Poland 2010-2019)
Travel
Table: Receipts For Transport & Travel (Poland 2012-2019)
Table: Breakdown Of Methods Of Tourist Travel (Poland 2012-2019)
Hotels
Table: Hotel Accommodation (Poland 2012-2019)
Table: Hotels & Restaurants Industry Value (Poland 2012-2019)
Industry Risk/Reward Index
Table: Central And Eastern Europe Tourism Risk/Reward Index
Market Overview
Competitive Landscape
Domestic Groups
International Groups
Global Industry Overview
Table: Global Tourism Market - Key Themes
Global Assumptions
Global Macro Outlook
Table: Global Forecasts, 2014-2019
Table: Global And Regional Real GDP Growth, 2014-2017 (% change y-o-y)
Developed States
Table: Developed States, Real GDP Growth Forecasts, 2014-2017
Emerging Markets
Table: Emerging Markets, Real GDP Growth Forecasts, 2014-2017
Table: BMI Versus Bloomberg Consensus Real GDP Growth Forecasts, 2015 And 2016 (%)
Demographic Forecast
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Poland 1990-2025)
Table: Key Population Ratios (Poland 1990-2025)
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Poland 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group (Poland 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group % (Poland 1990-2025)
Methodology
Industry Forecast Methodology
Risk/Reward Index Methodology
Table: Weighting Of Indicators

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