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Poland Telecommunications Report Q2 2016

BMI Industry View
SWOT
Industry Forecast
Latest Updates
Structural Trends
Table: Telecoms Sector - Historical Data & Forecasts (Poland 2013-2020)
Industry Risk Reward Index
Industry Risk Reward Ratings
Table: Central And Eastern Europe Telecoms Risk/Rewards Index, Q2 2016
Industry Risk Reward Ratings
Market Overview
Market Drivers & Trends
Mobile
Wireline Voice & Broadband
Pay-TV/Convergence
Table: Pay-TV Subscriptions By Key Operator (000)
Regulatory Development
Regulatory Overview
Table: Regulatory Bodies And Their Responsibilities
Regulatory Developments
Competitive Landscape
Table: Poland - Key Telecoms Players
Mobile Operator Data
Table: Poland Mobile Market Overview
Table: T-Mobile Poland (PTC)
Table: Orange
Table: P4/Play
Table: Polkomtel/Cyfrowy Polsat
Wireline Operator Data
Table: Orange (TP SA)
Table: UPC Poland
Table: Netia
Table: Vectra
Table: Cyfrowy Polsat Wireline
Table: Multimedia Polska
Company Profile
Netia
Cyfrowy Polsat Group
Orange Polska (TPSA)
T-Mobile (Polska Telefonia Cyfrowa)
Demographic Forecast
Demographic Outlook
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Poland 1990-2025)
Table: Key Population Ratios (Poland 1990-2025)
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Poland 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group (Poland 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group % (Poland 1990-2025)
Glossary
Table: Glossary Of Terms
Methodology
Industry Forecast Methodology
Sources
Risk/Reward Index Methodology
Table: Risk/Reward Index Indicators
Table: Weighting Of Indicators

Poland Telecommunications Report Q2 2016

BMI View: The Polish telecoms market is one of the fastest-changing in the Central and Emerging Europeregion. Its large and competitive retail and wholesale services markets as well as extensive deployments ofhigh-capacity next-generation infrastructure are driving usage of premium non-voice services as well ascomplex, multi-screen converged services. The 2015/16 auction of 4G 800MHz and 2600MHz spectrumended unsatisfactorily as the costs turned out to be much higher than operators had anticipated.

Latest Updates & Industry Developments

The mobile market contracted sharply in Q415 as T-Mobile shed more than 3mn inactivesubscriptions. By contrast, Orange and P4 (Play) performed well, signalling good underlying growthprospects despite saturation. We forecast 53.423mn mobile subscriptions by 2020.

Mobile expansion is being driven by 3G/4G migration. We forecast 48.364mn subscriptions by 2020,or 90.5% of the overall market, but the rate of growth will depend on the final outcome of thespectrum auction of 2015/16 as outlays on spectrum will weigh on operators' capacity to invest innetworks.


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