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Poland Shipping Report Q1 2016

Poland Shipping Report Q1 2016

BMI View: Our 2015 estimate for a 30% increase in container throughput at Poland's largest port,Gdansk, has been driven by its inclusion to the G6 Alliance's weekly Loop 7 Asia service, while weanticipate strong growth to continue in 2016 at a rate of 11.4%. Furthermore, a new liquid berth terminalat the port commissioned in 2015 is boosting liquid fuel volumes handled and supports our forecasts forsustained growth in throughput tonnage. Modernisation of rail networks in the country focused onimproving connectivity to ports is also attracting business with Poland's second largest port, Gdynia,forecasted to handle increased container traffic and throughput tonnage in 2016. Further supporting ourpositive outlook is steady economic growth in Poland and recovering European economies.

Over the medium term (2016-2019) we expect real growth in total trade to average 5.2% with importsgrowing faster than exports. We forecast unemployment to continue decreasing and inflation to remain lowincreasing consumer buying power and consequently imports. Poland's shipping sector also relies ondemand from European trading partners and future growth in trade flows to main exporting destinations willshape throughput volumes over the medium term. Germany is a major importer of Polish goods and weforecast slow but steady growth in German GDP and imports while we anticipate Russian imports torecover from the 2015 decline and average yearly growth of 7.0% over the medium term. France and CzechRepublic will also see growth in imports to 2019, boosting demand for Polish exports. Further supportingthroughput volumes will be the completion of several infrastructure projects at ports and rail networks,accommodating and promoting trade growth.


BMI Industry View
SWOT
Shipping
Political
Economic
Operational Risk
Industry Forecast
Port Of Gdansk Throughput
Port Of Gdynia Throughput
Table: Major Ports Data (Poland 2012-2019)
Table: Trade Overview (Poland 2012-2019)
Table: Key Trade Indicators (Poland 2012-2019)
Table: Top Import Sources, 2006-2013
Table: Top Export Destinations, 2006-2013
Market Overview
Poland Container Shipping Market Overview
Shipping - Global Industry View
Bright Spot For Shipping: Low Bunker Prices
Table: BMI Bunker Fuel (IFO180 & MGO) Price Forecast
Short-Term Outlook (three-to-six months)
Long-Term Outlook
Risks To Outlook
Global Company Strategy
Maersk Line
Mediterranean Shipping Company (MSC)
CMA CGM
Evergreen Line
COSCO Container Lines Company (COSCON)
Macroeconomic Forecasts
Economic Analysis
Real GDP By Expenditure Breakdown
Table: GDP By Expenditure (Poland 2012-2019)
Demographic Forecast
Demographic Outlook
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Poland 1990-2025)
Table: Key Population Ratios (Poland 1990-2025)
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Poland 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group (Poland 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group % (Poland 1990-2025)

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