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Poland Power Report Q1 2016

Poland Power Report Q1 2016

BMI View: A PiS victory is the most likely outcome of Poland's parliamentary elections - with the party'spopulist brand of politics likely to mean it is more vehement than the incumbent Civic Platform in itssupport for the domestic coal industry. As a consequence, we anticipate an even more fractious relationshipwith the EU over climate targets and a greater willingness to intervene in the state-controlled utilitiessector to support Poland's coal miners, at the expense of minority shareholders.

A PiS majority or PiS-led coalition government should advance a more populist brand of politics that willbe heavily focused on sustaining the role of cheap, but polluting coal in the domestic electricitygeneration mix - to ensure retail electricity prices remain low. This policy has also been pursued by CivicPlatform, but we expect PiS's position to be more inflexible - exacerbating Warsaw's reputation as anoutsider in Europe in terms of its position on climate policy.


BMI Industry View
Table: Headline Power Forecasts (Poland 2014-2020)
SWOT
Industry Forecast
Poland Snapshot
Table: Country Snapshot: Economic and Demographic Data (Poland 2014-2019)
Table: Country Snapshot: Economic and Demographic Data (Poland 2019-2024)
Table: Country Snapshot: Power Sector
Poland Power Forecast Scenario
Table: Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts (Poland 2013-2018)
Table: Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts (Poland 2019-2024)
Table: Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts (Poland 2013-2018)
Table: Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts (Poland 2019-2024)
Consumption
Table: Total Electricity Consumption Data And Forecasts (Poland 2013-2018)
Table: Total Electricity Consumption Data And Forecasts (Poland 2019-2024)
Transmission And Distribution
Table: Electric Power T&D Losses Data And Forecasts (Poland 2013-2018)
Table: Electric Power T&D Losses Data And Forecasts (Poland 2019-2024)
Table: Trade Data And Forecasts (Poland 2013-2018)
Table: Trade Data And Forecasts (Poland 2019-2024)
Industry Risk Reward Ratings
CEE Power RRI
Poland Power Risk/Reward Index
Rewards
Risks
Market Overview
Sustainable Energy Policy And Infrastructure
Regulation And Competition
Table: Proposed EU 2030 Energy And Climate Targets
Sustainable Energy Policies
Poland Power Projects Database
Competitive Landscape
Tauron
PGE/PSE
ENEA
Energa
RWE/STOEN
Electrabel
Company Profile
Polska Grupa Energetyczna (PGE)
Regional Overview
CEE Power Regional Overview
Glossary
Table: Glossary Of Terms
Methodology
Methodology And Sources
Industry Forecast Methodology
Sources
Risk/Reward Index Methodology
Table: Power Risk/Reward Index Indicators
Table: Weighting Of Indicators

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