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Poland Petrochemicals Report Q2 2016

Poland Petrochemicals Report Q2 2016

Polish polymer output growth was in double figures in 2015 as the automotive industry rebounded andexports improved. There is plenty of capacity available for similar rates of growth over the near term, butwith insufficient local hydrocarbon resources BMI doubts there is a basis for further capacity investment.

In 2015, ethylene production was up 15.8% year-on-year (y-o-y) to 545,000 tonnes, polyethylene outputwas up 11.5% to 376,000 tonnes, polypropylene increased 10.5% to 245,000 tonnes and polyvinyl chloriderose 16.7% to 321,000 tonnes. However, there is plenty of room for growth even within current capacities.

In 2015, Poland had olefins of 760,000 tonnes per annum (tpa) of ethylene, 475,000tpa propylene and60,000tpa butadiene. Polymer capacities include 320,000tpa high-density polyethylene, 170,000tpalow density polyethylene, 400,000tpa polypropylene, 550,000tpa polyvinyl chloride, 90,000tpa polystyreneand 120,000tpa polyethylene terephthalate. In the fertiliser segment, it had capacities of 1.4mn tpa in bothammonia and urea.


BMI Industry View
SWOT
Political
Economic
Operational Risk
Industry Forecast
Table: Polish Petrochemicals Sector Capacity, 2012-2020 ('000tpa, unless otherwise stated)
Macroeconomic Forecasts
Economic Analysis
How Will Law And Justice's Government Affect The Macro Outlook?
GDP By Expenditure Outlook
Table: GDP By Expenditure (Poland 2012-2019)
Industry Risk/Reward Index
Europe Petrochemicals Risk/Reward Index
Table: European Petrochemicals Risk/Reward Index (scores out of 100)
Poland Petrochemicals Risk/Reward Index
Market Overview
Industry Trends And Developments
Upstream
Capacity Expansions
PKN Orlen's Strategy, 2014-2017
Company Profile
Polski Koncern Naftowy Orlen (PKN Orlen)
Anwil
Grupa Lotos
Table: Grupo Lotos' Financial Results, 2011-2014 (PLNmn)
Regional Overview
Table: Europe Plant Turnarounds
Global Industry Overview
Global - Crude Oil, Refined Fuels And Natural Gas Prices
Table: Global Energy Price Forecasts (2014-2019)
Table: Global Energy Price Forecasts (2020-2025)
Demographic Forecast
Demographic Outlook
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Poland 1990-2025)
Table: Key Population Ratios (Poland 1990-2025)
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Poland 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group (Poland 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group % (Poland 1990-2025)
Glossary
Table: Glossary Of Petrochemicals Terms
Methodology
Industry Forecast Methodology
Risk/Reward Index Methodology
Table: Petrochemicals Risk/Reward Index Indicators
Table: Weighting Of Indicators

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