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Poland Oil and Gas Report Q2 2016

Poland Oil and Gas Report Q2 2016

BMI View: We have recently downgraded Poland's long-term gas production outlook, removing any contribution in growth from shale gas. The slow pace of exploration is unlikely to pick up in the coming years, tempering the development of below-ground understanding and optimised drilling and hydraulic fracturing processes required for Poland's challenging geology. Conventional gas exploration and developments will slowly boost gas production over our forecast period. The main trends and developments we highlight for Poland's oil and gas sector are:

We have downgraded Poland's long-term gas production outlook, removing any contribution in growth from shale gas. Exploration for unconventional gas in Poland has come to a near standstill and is unlikely to pick up within the next few years. Only four shale gas exploration wells have been drilled in 2015, down from a high of 24 well in 2012 and brining the total number of shale gas exploration well in Poland to 72 wells since 2010.


BMI Industry View
Table: Headline Forecasts (Poland 2014-2020)
SWOT
Oil & Gas SWOT
Industry Forecast
Upstream Exploration
Latest Updates
Structural Trends
Oil
Gas
An Improved Above-Ground Environment
Shale Exploration Grinds To A Halt
Table: Poland Shale Gas Exploration Licences
Upstream Projects
Table: Poland - Major Upstream Projects
Upstream Production - Oil
Latest Updates
Structural Trends
Table: Oil Production (Poland 2014-2019)
Table: Oil Production (Poland 2020-2025)
Upstream Production - Gas
Latest Updates
Structural Trend
Table: Gas Production (Poland 2014-2019)
Table: Gas Production (Poland 2020-2025)
Refining
Latest Updates
Structural Trends
Table: Refining Capacity and Refined Products Production (Poland 2014-2019)
Table: Refining Capacity and Refined Products Production (Poland 2020-2025)
Refined Fuels Consumption
Latest Updates
Structural Trends
Table: Refined Products Consumption* (Poland 2014-2019)
Table: Refined Products Consumption* (Poland 2020-2025)
Gas Consumption
Latest Updates
Structural Trends
Table: Gas Consumption (Poland 2014-2019)
Table: Gas Consumption (Poland 2020-2025)
Trade - Oil
Crude Oil
Latest Updates
Structural Trends
Table: Crude Oil Net Exports (Poland 2014-2020)
Table: Crude Oil Net Exports (Poland 2020-2025)
Refined Fuels
Latest Updates
Structural Trends
Table: Refined Fuels Net Exports (Poland 2014-2019)
Table: Refined Fuels Net Exports (Poland 2020-2025)
Trade - Gas (Pipeline and LNG)
Latest Updates
Structural Trends
Table: Poland - Alternatives To Direct Russian Imports Over Coming Years
Table: Gas Net Exports (Poland 2014-2019)
Table: Gas Net Exports (Poland 2020-2025)
Industry Risk Reward Ratings
Central And Eastern Europe - Oil & Gas Risk/Reward Index
Table: Regional Risk/Reward Index Averages - High Risk, Low Reward In Central And Eastern Europe
Table: Central And Eastern Europe - Upstream, Downstream And Overall Risk/Reward Index
Upstream: China Still The Target Market
Table: Central And Eastern Europe Upstream Risk/Reward Index
Downstream: Turkish STAR Only Bright Spot In Weak Market
Table: Central And Eastern Europe - Downstream Risk/Reward Index
Poland - Risk/Reward Index
Poland Upstream Index - Rewards
Poland Upstream Index - Risks
Poland Downstream Index - Overview
Market Overview
Poland Energy Market Overview
Overview/State Role
Fiscal And Licensing Regime Up To 2016
Table: Poland Fiscal and Licensing Regime
Shale Gas Licensing, Regulation And Taxation
Licensing Rounds
Oil And Gas Infrastructure
Oil Refineries
Table: Downstream Projects
Service Stations
Oil Terminals/Ports
Oil Pipelines
LNG Terminals
Gas Storage Facilities
Table: Gas Storage Facilities In Poland
Gas Pipelines
Competitive Landscape
Competitive Landscape Summary
Table: Key Players - Poland Oil And Gas Sector
Table: Key Upstream Player
Table: Key Downstream Players
Company Profile
PKN Orlen
Grupa Lotos
Polskie Górnictwo Naftowe i Gazownictwo (PGNiG)
PERN
BP Polska
Shell Polska
FX Energy
Other Summaries
Regional Overview
Central And Eastern Europe Oil And Gas Regional Overview
Oil Production: Output Growth Stalling
Oil Consumption: Weak EM Growth Softens Demand
Refining Capacity: Modernisation Over Capacity Growth
Natural Gas Production: Gas Ramp-Up Depends On China's Hunger
Table: Central Asia-China Gas Pipeline Expansions
Gas Consumption: Demand Falters On Struggling Economies
Table: Central And Eastern Europe - Oil And Gas Production And Consumption, Refining Capacity And Trade
Glossary
Table: Glossary Of Terms
Methodology
Industry Forecast Methodology
Source
Risk/Reward Index Methodology
Table: Bmi's Oil & Gas Upstream Risk/Reward Index
Table: Weighting

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