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Poland Banking & Financial Services Q1 2020

Poland Banking & Financial Services Q1 2020

Key View:

Supported by a resilient economy we hold a positive view on Poland's banking and financial services market across ourforecast period, although the headwinds facing the sector have increased since our last update. In the banking market, our forecastsfor both asset and client loan growth are now more modest, however, with the weight of the ECJ's ruling on FX-denominatedmortgages set to weigh on profits. In the insurance market, we now see the larger non-life market growing at a faster averageannual rate than the smaller life market through our forecast period to 2028. The expectation that the NBP will hold its key policyrate at its current 1.50% will come as good news for the growing asset management industry, however. While the local WSE boursecontinues to struggle to attract new listings against the backdrop of the bear market sentiment in the local equities arena atpresent.

Key View
Banking & Financial Services SWOT
Banking Snapshot
Decline In Polish Private Debt Symptomatic Of Below-Potential Credit Growth
Forecast Tables
Competitive Landscape
Regulatory Environment
Insurance Snapshot
Competitive Landscape
Regulatory Environment
Asset Management
Asset Management Snapshot
Competitive Landscape
Regulatory Environment
Stock Exchanges
Stock Exchanges Snapshot
Competitive Landscape
Regulatory Environment
Macroeconomic Overview
Sharp Minimum Wage Increase In Poland To Add Further Strength To Household Consumption
Macroeconomic Forecast
Household Income Forecasts
Poland Demographic Outlook
Banking & Financial Services Methodology

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