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Philippines Telecommunications Report Q2 2015

Attention: There is an updated edition available for this report.

Philippines Telecommunications Report Q2 2015

BMI View: Relatively low penetration and increasing GDP per capita will give impetus for mobile marketgrowth in the Philippines. BMI believes that mobile growth will average 3.5% over 2015-2018. A newentrant - media conglomerate ABS-CBN Corporation - launched its mobile virtual network operator(MVNO) service under the ABS-CBNmobile brand in December 2013 using the network infrastructure ofGlobe Telecom. Despite the new competition, BMI believes market dynamics are likely to remain in favourof the incumbents, Philippine Long Distance Telephone (PLDT) and Globe Telecom, given their strongbrand and unassailable scale, which make it hard for new entrants to compete effectively. A rise in publicWi-Fi spots is likely to add growth to the broadband services.

Key Data:

Strong mobile subscription growth continued in Q214, reaching a subscription base of 111.9mn, a 2.2%year-on-year growth rate. We now expect a total of 132.034mn mobile subscriptions by the end of ourforecast period to 2019.

The number of fixed-line subscribers could be experiencing a sustained period of contraction due tomobile substitution. We forecast 2.11mn subscribers by 2019, representing a 1.9% penetration rate.

Despite the mobile market effectively being a duopoly, mobile average revenue per user (ARPU)continues to trend lower. Without a concerted effort to move towards higher revenue-generating productsand subscribers, operator ARPU will continue to fall.

BMI Industry View
SWOT Mobile
SWOT Wireline
Operational Risk
Industry Forecast
Table: Telecoms Sector - Mobile - Historical Data & Forecasts (2012-2019)
Table: Telecoms Sector - Wireline - Historical Data & Forecasts (2012-2019)
Industry Risk Reward Ratings
Industry Risk Reward Index
Table: Asia-Pacific Telecoms Risk/Reward Index, Q215
Market Overview
Regional Perspective
Table: Philippines Mobile Market Regional Comparison, 2013
Key Developments
Market Growth
Market Share
Table: Mobile Operators Prepaid And Postpaid APRU (PHP)
Mobile Operator Data
Table: The Philippines Market Overview
Table: Smart Communications
Table: Globe Telecom
Table: Sun Cellular (acquired by PLDT)
Asia Mobile Content
Table: Philippines' Fixed-Line Market ('000)
Industry Trends And Developments
Table: Telecoms Market Developments
Regulatory Development
Regulatory Overview
Table: Philippines - Regulatory Bodies And Their Responsibilities
Table: Regulatory Developments
Competitive Landscape
Table: Key Players
Table: Selected Operator Revenues (USDmn)
Company Profile
Philippine Long Distance Telephone Company
Smart Communications
Globe Telecom
Digital Telecommunications Philippines
Regional Overview
Table: Ericsson Key Asia Contracts/Trials Announced, 2015
Demographic Forecast
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Philippines 1990-2025)
Table: Key Population Ratios (Philippines 1990-2025)
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Philippines 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group (Philippines 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group % (Philippines 1990-2025)
Table: Glossary Of Terms
Industry Forecast Methodology
Risk/Reward Index Methodology
Table: Risk/Reward Index Indicators
Table: Weighting Of Indicators

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