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Philippines Mining Report 2016

Philippines Mining Report 2016

BMI View: Mining output in the Philippines will continue to be severely affected by softening of Chinesedemand for key mined metals, including nickel, copper and gold. Weakness in global prices for theseminerals will deter investment in Philippines mining in the short-term; however, we maintain that theindustry is well positioned for longer term growth as foreign miners look to take advantage of the country'ssizeable and relatively untapped deposits, as well as low operating costs.

Latest Updates And Structural Trends

We have revised our production forecasts for Philippines metals production downwards in reflection of asharper than expected fall in price levels for a number of commodities and the subsequent scaling back ofdomestic output. Philippines nickel production fell by more than 24% during the first 10 months of 2015,according to Bloomberg data, due to a collapse in Chinese demand, and we expect output to contract byabout 6% in 2016.


BMI Industry View
Table: PHILIPPINES MINING INDUSTRY VALUE FORECAST (2015-2020)
SWOT
Industry Forecast
Copper: Output To Slip Further On Price Weakness
Table: Copper Production Forecast (Philippines 2013-2020)
Gold: Price Levels To Stunt Development
Table: Gold Production Forecast (Philippines 2013-2020)
Table: Philippines - Gold Mining Projects
Nickel: Collapse In Chinese Demand To Hit Output
Table: Nickel Production Forecast (Philippines 2013-2020)
Industry Risk Reward Ratings
Philippines Risk/Reward Index
Rewards
Industry Rewards
Country Rewards
Risks
Industry Risks
Country Risks
Table: Mining Industry Forecasts (Philippines 2013-2020)
Asia - Risk/Reward Index
Table: Asia - Mining Risk/Reward Index
Regulatory Development
Tax Regime
Regulatory Inconsistencies To Cause Complications
Social Stability To Remain A Concern
Table: Philippines Political Overview
Commodities Forecast
Commodities Outlook
Table: BMI Commodities Price Forecasts
Competitive Landscape
Table: Philippines - Largest Listed Mining Companies
Company Profile
Nickel Asia
Table: Nickel Asia - Key Financial Data
Philex Mining Corporation
Table: Philex Mining - Key Financial Data
Semirara Mining Corporation (SMC)
Table: Semimara Mining - Key Financial Data
Regional Overview
Asia Mining: The Four Key Themes
Key Themes
Australia To Dominate Iron Ore Sector
Indian Coal Consumption To Remain Solid
Weak Chinese Demand To Keep Prices Low
Indonesian Ban Moderation Increasingly Likely
Methodology
Industry Forecast Methodology
Sources
Risk/Reward Index Methodology
Table: Weighting Of Indicators

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