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Peru Shipping Report Q1 2016

Peru Shipping Report Q1 2016

BMI View: Over the course of 2016, we anticipate fairly healthy growth at Peru's two largest ports with theoutperformer, in tonnage terms, set to be the port of Callao (4.24% y-o-y gains), ahead of the port of Paita(2.70%). With prices for commodities low, this will weigh on export growth and keep the country a netgoods importer.

Peruvian exports will return to modest growth, although low metals prices will prevent a more substantialrebound. This is significant as Peru has vast mineral reserves, and the country's shipping sector benefitsfrom this. Exports, the majority of which are metals, will return to growth in 2016 following three years ofcontraction, averaging a 4.5% expansion between 2016 and 2020.


BMI Industry View
Peru - Q116
SWOT
Peru - Q415
Political
Economic
Operational Risk
Industry Forecast
Port Of Callao Throughput
Port Of Paita Throughput
Table: Major Ports Data (Peru 2012-2019)
Table: Trade Overview (Peru 2012-2019)
Table: Key Trade Indicators (Peru 2012-2019)
Table: Major Import Partners, 2006-2013 (USDmn)
Table: Major Export Partners, 2006-2013 (USDmn)
Market Overview
Peru - Q415
Shipping - Global Industry View
Bright Spot For Shipping: Low Bunker Prices
Table: BMI Bunker Fuel (IFO180 & MGO) Price Forecast
Short-Term Outlook (three-to-six months)
Long-Term Outlook
Risks To Outlook
Global Company Strategy
Maersk Line
Mediterranean Shipping Company (MSC)
CMA CGM
Evergreen Line
COSCO Container Lines Company (COSCON)
Macroeconomic Forecasts
Economic Analysis
Table: Peru - Private Consumption Forecasts
Table: Peru - Government Consumption Forecasts
Table: Peru - Fixed Investment Forecasts
Table: Peru - Net Exports Forecast
Demographic Forecast
Demographic Outlook
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Peru 1990-2025)
Table: Key Population Ratios (Peru 1990-2025)
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Peru 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group (Peru 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group % (Peru 1990-2025)

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