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Peru Infrastructure Report Q4 2017

Peru Infrastructure Report Q4 2017

BMI View: Peru's construction industry will benefit from a broad range of government-backed projects aimed at addressing deficits in housing and energy and transport infrastructure over the coming years.

However, the ouster of key ministers on corruption allegations, political infighting, and major delays have plagued the infrastructure industry in recent quarters and will see the industry contract in 2017, and presents significant risks to our broadly positive outlook for the industry moving forward.

Forecast and Industry Developments

We downgraded our construction industry value growth for 2017 to -1.2% from 0.2% due to major project delays, political infighting and a weak Q117 reading. In this environment, the strongest growth is expected in transport infrastructure (5.2%) as Lima metro expansion drives sector growth.

The withdrawal of Brazil's Odebrecht from the Southern Gas Pipeline project in the wake of corruption charges will result in significant delays. Odebrecht was revealed to have paid USD12mn in bribes in Peru and forced to withdraw from the USD7bn project.


BMI Industry View
Table: Infrastructure - Construction Industry Forecasts (Peru 2015-2021)
Table: Infrastructure Risk Reward Index (Peru 2017-2017)
SWOT
Infrastructure SWOT
Industry Forecast
Construction Infrastructure - Outlook And Overview
Latest Developments
Table: Construction And Infrastructure Industry Data (Peru 2016-2026)
Structural Trends
Transport Infrastructure - Outlook And Overview
Latest Developments
Table: Transport Infrastructure Industry Data (Peru 2016-2026)
Structural Trends
Table: Peru: Key Transport Projects
Energy And Utilities Infrastructure - Outlook And Overview
Table: Energy And Utilities Infrastructure Data (Peru 2017-2026)
Structural Trends
Table: Key Projects: Energy & Utilities
Residential/NonResidential Building - Outlook And Overview
Latest Developments
Table: Residential And Non-Residential Building Industry Data (Peru 2016-2026)
Structural Trends
Table: Construction And Social Infrastructure Key Projects
Industry Risk Reward Index
Latin America - Latin America Infrastructure: Political Risk, Low Commodity Prices Mute Outlook
Market Overview
Competitive Landscape
Methodology
Infrastructure Forecast Methodology
Industry Forecast Methodology
Sector-Specific Methodology
Infrastructure Risk/Reward Index

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