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Peru Agribusiness Report Q2 2016

Peru Agribusiness Report Q2 2016

BMI View: We continue to maintain a generally positive outlook for the Peruvian agricultural sector. We have modestly revised our forecasts for several segments of the Peruvian agricultural sector in our Q2 2016 update though continue to maintain a positive outlook for the agricultural sector as a whole. Export crops such as coffee and cocoa are hampered by infrastructure constraints and a lack of investment; however, as Peru develops and gains recognition for organic and speciality crops, both these sectors stand to benefit. Peru is also set to benefit from cheaper food imports owing to the lower price of grains and weakness in the Argentine peso, as Argentina is a major source of imported grains.

Key Forecasts

Poultry production to 2019/2020: 1.4mn tonnes. Ongoing investment and the availability of cheaper imported feed will support growth in the sector.

Sugar consumption to 2020: 1.4mn tonnes. Low sugar prices and the rapid expansion of the local confectionery and soft drinks sector will see an expansion in demand for sugar in the coming years.

Corn consumption to 2020: 4.6mn tonnes. Domestic consumption of corn is set to increase as Peru imports more corn from Andean neighbours at a cheap price.

Cocoa production to 2020: 98,000 tonnes. Cocoa production will increase as export demand remains stable and investment is made into Peruvian cocoa infrastructure.


BMI Industry View
SWOT
Agribusiness
Industry Forecast
Cocoa Outlook
Table: Peru - Cocoa Production & Consumption Outlook
Table: Risks To Outlook
Table: Cocoa Production & Consumption
Coffee Outlook
Table: Peru - Coffee Production & Consumption Outlook
Table: Risks To Outlook
Table: Coffee Production & Consumption
Sugar Outlook
Table: Peru Sugar Production & Consumption Outlook
Table: Risks To Outlook
Table: Sugar Production & Consumption
Grains Outlook
Table: Peru Grain Production & Consumption Outlook
Table: Risks To Outlook
Table: Grain Production & Consumption
Livestock Outlook
Table: Peru Livestock Production & Consumption Outlook
Table: Risks To Outlook
Table: Livestock Production & Consumption
Dairy Outlook
Table: Peru Dairy Production & Consumption Outlook
Table: Risks To Outlook
Table: Dairy Production & Consumption
Commodities Price Analysis
Global Commodities Strategy
Table: Select Commodities - Performance And BMI Forecasts
Upstream Analysis
Americas GM Outlook
Americas Machinery Outlook
Table: Select Companies - Sales Forecasts By Region (Company-based estimates)
Americas Fertiliser Outlook
Downstream Analysis
Food
Food Consumption
Table: Food Consumption Indicators - Historical Data & Forecasts (Peru 2012-2019)
Confectionary
Table: Confectionery Value/Volume Sales, Production & Trade - Historical Data & Forecasts (Peru 2012-2019)
Meat And Fish
Table: Meat Volume Sales, Production & Trade - Historical Data & Forecast (Peru 2012-2019)
Fish
Table: Fish Volume Sales, Production & Trade - Historical Data & Forecasts (Peru 2012-2019)
Pasta
Table: Pasta Volume Sales, Production & Trade - Historical Data & Forecasts (Peru 2012-2019)
Oils And Fats
Table: Oils And Fats Volume Sales, Production & Trade - Historical Data & Forecasts (Peru 2012-2019)
Dairy
Table: Dairy Volume Sales, Production & Trade - Historical Data & Forecasts (Peru 2012-2019)
Regional Overview
Table: TPP - Main Winners And Losers For Agriculture
Competitive Landscape
Table: Main Agribusiness Players
Demographic Forecast
Demographic Outlook
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Peru 1990-2025)
Table: Key Population Ratios (Peru 1990-2025)
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Peru 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group (Peru 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group % (Peru 1990-2025)
Methodology
Industry Forecast Methodology
Sector-Specific Methodology

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