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Pakistan Real Estate Report Q1 2015

Pakistan Real Estate Report Q1 2015

BMI View: Pakistan's commercial real estate sector is underdeveloped, with long-term security problemsand unstable politics having served to deter investment into the sector. Although we see this situationcontinuing, at least in the short term, in the long term there are significant opportunities as prices are low,meaning potential yields are high, and there is considerable room to expand and modernise Pakistan'sstock of commercial real estate.

Improved regulations surrounding the creation of real estate investment trusts (REITs) could pave the wayfor increased investment via this format, and lead to more Pakistani investment being directed into the homemarket rather than overseas.

We forecast Pakistan's real GDP growth rate will be around 4.1% a year over our forecast period to 2018.The economy is held back by concerns over the security situation and political tensions. However, webelieve that the government remains committed to policies designed to improve the business environmentand increase investment into Pakistan, which should in the long term benefit the commercial real estateindustry.


BMI Industry View
SWOT
Political
Economic
Industry Forecast
Office
Table: Forecast Office Rental Rates, 2015-2016 (USD per sq m per month)
Table: Forecast Office Net Yields, 2011-2018 (%)
Retail
Table: Forecast Retail Rent Rates, 2015-2016 (USD per sq m per month)
Table: Forecast Retail Net Yields, 2011-2018 (%)
Industrial
Table: Forecast Industrial Rental Rates, 2015-2016 (USD per sq m per month)
Table: Forecast Industrial Net Yields, 2011-2018
Construction and Infrastructure Forecast Scenario
Table: Construction And Infrastructure Industry Data (Pakistan 2013-2018)
Table: Construction And Infrastructure Industry Data (Pakistan 2019-2024)
Macroeconomic Forecast
Economic Activity
Table: Economic Activity (Pakistan 2009-2018)
Industry Risk Reward Ratings
Asia - Risk/Reward Index
Table: Asia - Real Estate Risk/Reward Index
Pakistan Real Estate Risk/Reward Index
Rewards
Risks
Market Overview
Islamabad
Lahore
Karachi
Office
Table: Historical Net Yields, 2013-2014 (%)
Table: Historical Rental Costs, 2013-2014 (USD per square metre per month)
Table: Terms Of Rental Contract/Leases, H114
Retail
Table: Historical Net Yields, 2013-2014 (%)
Table: Historical Rental Costs, 2013-2014 (USD per sq m per month)
Table: Terms Of Rental Contract/Leases, H114
Industrial
Table: Historical Net Yields, 2013-2014 (%)
Table: Historical Rental Costs, 2013-2014 (USD per sq m per month)
Table: Terms Of Rental Contract/Leases, H114
Competitive Landscape
Real Estate Companies
Company Profile
Bestway Cement
Demographic Forecast
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Pakistan 1990-2025)
Table: Key Population Ratios (Pakistan 1990-2025)
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Pakistan 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group (Pakistan 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group % (Pakistan 1990-2025)
Methodology
Industry Forecast Methodology
Sources
Risk/Reward Index Methodology
Table: Real Estate Risk/Reward Index Indicators
Table: Weighting Of Indicators

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