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Pakistan Oil and Gas Report Q1 2016

Pakistan Oil and Gas Report Q1 2016

BMI View: While a string of recent exploration successes boosted Pakistan's oil and gas in the past fewyears, we forecast the country's reserves to continue declining over the next decade due to excessive useand lack of new significant discoveries. Nonetheless, recent discoveries and greater private sectorinvolvement in the upstream sector pose an upside risk to our forecast and could stimulate much neededinvestment, thus helping the country temper or reverse the negative trend.

Latest Updates and Key Forecasts:

Rostec's plan to build a USD2.5bn gas pipeline in Pakistan from Lahore to Karachi will improvedomestic pipeline connectivity, which supports our forecasts for domestic gas demand to grow steadilyover the next 10 years.

On September 1 2015, the Pakistani government increased the price of natural gas for domesticcustomers and industry. We believe that higher domestic gas prices in Pakistan will invite greaterinternational investment in its E&P sector and pose an upside risk to the country's long-term gasproduction growth and minimise the cost burden of LNG imports on the government.

Completion of the Baluchistan Oil Refinery has boosted Pakistan's refining capacity to 402,000b/d in2015.


BMI Industry View
Table: Headline Forecasts (Pakistan 2013-2019)
SWOT
Oil & Gas SWOT
Industry Forecast
Upstream Exploration
Latest Updates
Structural Trends
Upstream Projects
Table: Pakistan Major Upstream Projects
Upstream Production - Oil
Latest Updates
Structural Trends
Table: Oil Production (Pakistan 2013-2018)
Table: Oil Production (Pakistan 2019-2024)
Upstream Production - Gas
Latest Updates
Structural Trends
Table: Gas Production (Pakistan 2013-2018)
Table: Gas Production (Pakistan 2019-2024)
Refining
Latest Updates
Structural Trends
Table: Refining Capacity and Refined Products Production (Pakistan 2013-2018)
Table: Refining Capacity and Refined Products Production (Pakistan 2019-2024)
Refined Fuels Consumption
Latest Updates
Structural Trends
Table: Refined Products Consumption* (Pakistan 2013-2018)
Table: Refined Products Consumption* (Pakistan 2019-2024)
Gas Consumption
Latest Updates
Structural Trends
Table: Gas Consumption (Pakistan 2013-2018)
Table: Gas Consumption (Pakistan 2019-2024)
Trade - Oil
Crude Oil Trade Forecasts
Latest Updates
Structural Trends
Table: Crude Oil Net Exports (Pakistan 2013-2019)
Table: Crude Oil Net Exports (Pakistan 2019-2024)
Fuels Trade Forecast
Latest Updates
Structural Trends
Table: Refined Fuels Net Exports (Pakistan 2013-2018)
Table: Refined Fuels Net Exports (Pakistan 2019-2024)
Trade - Gas (Pipeline and LNG)
Latest Updates
Structural Trends
Table: Gas Net Exports (Pakistan 2013-2018)
Table: Gas Net Exports (Pakistan 2019-2024)
Industry Risk Reward Ratings
Industry Risk Reward Index
Table: Asia: Upstream Risk/Reward Index
Table: Asia: Downstream Risk/Reward Index
Pakistan Risk/Reward Index
Market Overview
Pakistan Energy Market Overview
Regulatory Structure
Fiscal Regime
Table: Pakistan - Upstream Tax Regime
Licensing Regime
Table: Pakistan - Contracts and Licensing Regime
Licensing Rounds
Oil And Gas Infrastructure
Oil Refineries
Table: Refineries In Pakistan
Oil Storage Facilities
Oil Terminals/Ports
Oil Pipelines
LNG Terminals
Competitive Landscape
Competitive Landscape Summary
Table: Key Players - Pakistan Oil & Gas Sector
Company Profile
Oil and Gas Development Company (OGDCL)
Pakistan Petroleum (PPL)
Pakistan State Oil (PSO)
Pakistan Oilfields
Shell Pakistan
Other Summaries
Regional Overview
Asia - Weak Oil Prices Will Hit Region's Long-Term O&G Production
Glossary
Table: Glossary Of Terms
Methodology
Industry Forecast Methodology
Source
Risk/Reward Index Methodology
Table: Bmi's Oil & Gas Upstream Risk/Reward Index
Table: Weighting

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