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Pakistan Autos Report Q2 2015

Pakistan Autos Report Q2 2015

In line with our view that Pakistan's FY2014/15 (July-June) budget will be positive for auto demand,vehicle sales (sum total of passenger car, light commercial vehicles, heavy trucks and bus sales) surged24.4% year-on-year (y-o-y) in December 2014 (latest available data) to 11,446 units. This brought sales forH12014/15 to 69,310 units, an increase of 10.8% y-o-y. We are maintaining our full fiscal year sales growthforecast of 4.8%, as we see base effects tempering growth slightly in the coming months.

Moreover, the State Bank of Pakistan's January cut of 100 basis points in its key discount rate to 8.5% willbe another positive for auto sales. As consumer financing rates decline, buyers will be more incentivised totake up vehicle loans, which will benefit both passenger car and commercial vehicle (CV) sales.


BMI Industry View
SWOT
Political
Economic
Operational Risk
Industry Forecast
Production And Sales
Table: Autos Total Market - Historical Data And Forecasts (Pakistan 2013-2019)
Sales
Production
Passenger Vehicles
Table: Passenger Car Market - Historical Data And Forecasts (Pakistan 2013-2019)
Table: Passenger Car Historical Production And Sales By Model, FY07/08-FY12/13 (CBUs)
Commercial Vehicles
Table: Commercial Vehicle Market - Historical Data And Forecasts (Pakistan 2013-2019)
Table: Commercial Vehicle Historical Sales By Manufacturer, 2008/09-2012/13 (CBUs)
Motorcycles
Table: Motorcycle Market - Historical Data And Forecasts (Pakistan 2013-2019)
Table: Motorcycle Historical Production And Sales By Manufacturer, 2008-2013 (CBUs)
Suppliers
Macroeconomic Forecast
Economic Analysis
Industry Risk Reward Ratings
Asia - Risk/Reward Index
Table: Asia Pacific Autos Risk/Reward Index
Company Profile
Company Monitor
Indus Motor
Pak Suzuki Motor
Honda Atlas
Regional Overview
Table: Fuel Economy Targets By Geography
Table: Fuel Efficient Vehicle Incentive Schemes
Global Industry Overview
Africa Still The Growth Driver
Oil Prices A Boon For Importers
Regulation Driving Innovation
Table: Fuel Economy Targets By Geography
SUVs To Be Segment Of Choice
Demographic Forecast
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Pakistan 1990-2025)
Table: Key Population Ratios (Pakistan 1990-2025)
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Pakistan 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group (Pakistan 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group % (Pakistan 1990-2025)
Methodology
Industry Forecasts
Sector-Specific Methodology
Sources
Risk/Reward Index Methodology
Table: Automotive Risk/Reward Index Indicators And Weighting Of Indicators

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