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Pakistan Agribusiness Report Q4 2017

Pakistan Agribusiness Report Q4 2017

BMI View:

There are numerous challenges facing producers of all commodities in Pakistan, chief amongthem the improving, yet still fragile, security situation, erratic power supply, lack of availability of financeand vulnerability to extreme weather events. Nevertheless, the government has taken some positiveinterventionist steps to improve the availability of higher-quality seeds for rice, wheat and corn, whichshould raise yields over the medium term. It has also taken steps to ease tariffs and taxes on key inputs.

Recent positive developments in the country's energy sector, if sustained, could be beneficial for cotton andrice producers in particular. Our expectation of rising prices for rice, grains and cotton out to the end ofour forecast period in 2021 also provides some grounds for optimism regarding exports. More positivitycomes from favourable weather conditions for growth which have helped us upgrade our forecast forproduction and consumption across the crops we cover in this update.

Key BMI Forecasts

Cotton production average annual growth to 2021: 9.1% to 10.77mn 480lb bales. Steady demandgrowth will be supported by recovering demand in key export markets for the textile industry.


BMI Industry View
SWOT
Agribusiness
Industry Forecast
Rice Outlook
Table: Pakistan - Rice Production & Consumption Outlook
Table: Risks To Outlook
Table: Rice Production & Consumption (Pakistan 2013-2021)
Grains Outlook
Table: Pakistan - Grains Production & Consumption Outlook
Table: Risks To Outlook
Table: Grains Production & Consumption (Pakistan 2013-2021)
Cotton Outlook
Table: Pakistan - Cotton Production And Consumption Outlook
Table: Risks To Outlook
Table: Cotton Production & Consumption (Pakistan 2013-2021)
Commodity Price Analysis
Commodities Performance And Forecasts
Table: BMI Commodities Views
Table: Select Commodities - Performance & BMI Forecasts
Upstream Analysis
Asia Machinery Outlook
Asia GM Outlook
Table: Selected Countries - GM Crops Use (mn hectares)
Asia Fertiliser Outlook
Downstream Analysis
Food
Latest Updates
Structural Trends
Table: Food Sales (Pakistan 2014-2021)
Regional Overview
Table: India - Ongoing Agricultural Policy Reforms
Table: Australia - The Agricultural IoT And Technology Ecosystem
Competitive Landscape
Table: Main Agricultural Companies
Demographic Forecast
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Pakistan 1990-2025)
Table: Key Population Ratios (Pakistan 1990-2025)
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Pakistan 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group (Pakistan 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group % (Pakistan 1990-2025)
Methodology
Industry Forecast Methodology
Sector-Specific Methodology

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