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Nordics Power Report Q4 2015

Nordics Power Report Q4 2015

BMI View: This quarter we have revised down our wind power forecast for Sweden to take into accountpolicy uncertainty over the country's regulatory framework. This in turn has marginally altered downwardsthe overall forecasts for the country. That said, our fundamental assumptions for Denmark, Finland andSweden continue to be relevant. We maintain our long-held view that, while growth expectations in theregion are improving, economic woes in the eurozone remain a major risk factor for the consumption andgeneration outlook of the three Nordic countries, as more regional instability could undermine theireconomic activity. In terms of sector trends, we note that Denmark appears to be losing its energy selfsufficientstatus; while Sweden's phase-out of nuclear energy could put at risk the reliability of the system.Conversely, Finland's nuclear sector has seen some positive developments.

Taking into account relatively positive macroeconomic expectations for the Nordic region as well as sectortrends, we continue to expect power consumption growth in 2015. Similarly, our long-term outlook remainsunchanged, with generation and consumption expected to rise only moderately, making the substitution ofageing plants and the acquisition of additional cleaner generation capacity the main priorities for these threepower markets. In spite of the similarities, however, we note the existing electricity mix, access to specificresources and political considerations will influence refurbishment interventions and the choice oftechnologies, as well as planning new infrastructure.


BMI Industry View
SWOT
Industry Forecast
Nordics Snapshot
Denmark
Table: Country Snapshot: Economic And Demographic Data, 2012, 2017 And 2022
Table: Country Snapshot: Power Sector
Finland
Table: Country Snapshot: Economic And Demographic Data, 2012, 2017 And 2022
Table: Country Snapshot: Power Sector
Sweden
Table: Country Snapshot: Economic And Demographic Data, 2012, 2017 And 2022
Table: Country Snapshot: Power Sector
Nordics Power Forecast Scenario
Electricity Generation And Power Generating Capacity
Denmark
Table: Denmark's Total Electricity Generation, Data And Forecasts, 2013-2018
Table: Denmark's Total Electricity Generation, Long-Term Forecasts, 2019-2024
Table: Denmark's Electricity Generating Capacity, Data And Forecasts, 2013-2018
Table: Denmark's Electricity Generating Capacity, Long-Term Forecasts, 2019-2024
Finland
Table: Finland's Total Electricity Generation, Data And Forecasts, 2013-2018
Table: Finland's Total Electricity Generation, Long-Term Forecasts, 2019-2024
Table: Finland's Electricity Generating Capacity, Data And Forecasts, 2013-2018
Table: Finland's Electricity Generating Capacity, Long-Term Forecasts, 2019 2024
Sweden
Table: Sweden's Total Electricity Generation, Data And Forecasts, 2013-2018
Table: Sweden's Total Electricity Generation, Long-Term Forecasts, 2019-2024
Table: Sweden's Electricity Generating Capacity, Data And Forecasts, 2013-2018
Table: Sweden's Electricity Generating Capacity, Long-Term Forecasts, 2019 2024
Table: Finland's Nuclear Power Reactors - Under Construction And Planned
Electricity Consumption
Denmark
Table: Denmark's Total Electricity Consumption, Data And Forecasts, 2013-2018
Table: Denmark's Total Electricity Consumption, Long-Term Forecasts, 2019-2024
Finland
Table: Finland's Total Electricity Consumption, Data And Forecasts, 2013-2018
Table: Finland's Total Electricity Consumption, Long-Term Forecasts, 2019-2024
Sweden
Table: Sweden's Total Electricity Consumption, Data And Forecasts, 2013-2018
Table: Sweden's Total Electricity Consumption, Long-Term Forecasts, 2019-2024
Transmission, Distribution And Trade
Denmark
Table: Denmark's Electric Power Transmission And Distribution Losses, Data And Forecasts, 2013-2018
Table: Denmark's Electric Power Transmission And Distribution Losses, Long-Term Forecasts, 2019-2024
Table: Denmark's Trade, Data And Forecasts, 2013-2018
Table: Denmark's Trade, Long-Term Forecasts, 2019-2024
Finland
Table: Finland's Electric Power Transmission And Distribution Losses, Data And Forecasts, 2013-2018
Table: Finland's Electric Power Transmission And Distribution Losses, Long-Term Forecasts, 2019-2024
Table: Finland's Trade, Data And Forecasts, 2013-2018
Table: Finland's Trade, Long-Term Forecasts, 2019-2024
Sweden
Table: Sweden's Electric Power Transmission And Distribution Losses, Data And Forecasts, 2013-2018
Table: Sweden's Electric Power Transmission And Distribution Losses, Long-Term Forecasts, 2019-2024
Table: Sweden Trade, Data And Forecasts, 2013-2018
Table: Sweden's Trade, Long-Term Forecasts, 2019-2024
Industry Risk Reward Index
Power Risk/Reward Index
Table: NAWE Power RRI
Nordics Power Risk/Reward Index
Rewards
Risks
Market Overview
Regulation And Competition
Sustainable Energy Policies
Pricing
Nordics Power Project Database
Denmark
Table: Denmark Power Projects Database
Finland
Table: Finland Power Projects Database
Sweden
Table: Sweden Power Projects Database
Competitive Landscape
DONG Energy
Vattenfall
E.ON
Fortum
Regional Overview
NAWE Power: Key Regional Themes
Global Company Strategy
E.ON
Glossary
Table: Glossary Of Terms
Methodology
Industry Forecast Methodology
Sources
Risk/Reward Index Methodology
Table: Power Risk/Reward Index Indicators
Table: Weighting Of Indicators

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