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Nigeria Telecommunications Report Q4 2015

Nigeria Telecommunications Report Q4 2015

BMI View: BMI forecast strong growth in Nigeria's telecoms sector, where mobile penetration just above80% and broadband penetration below 10% mean there is considerable untapped demand for traditionalvoice and data services. A rapidly maturing tower market will enable operators to extend networks intorural areas more cost effectively, while allocation of wholesale Infraco licences will ensure investment intonext generation broadband networks. However there are important industry and external risks to smoothgrowth. Nigeria's government has twice postponed 4G spectrum auctions and has requested a reportinvestigating the sale of incumbent telecoms operator NITEL, which will delay investment into wireline andmobile data networks. Meanwhile, power shortages, a weaker economic outlook amid lower oil prices andongoing terrorist attacks all pose additional operational challenges and downside risk to our growth outlook.

Key Data

Mobile subscriptions grew by 3.4% q-o-q in Q215, bringing total growth in 2014 to 9.4%.

Mobile ARPU dropped by 5.1% in Q215 as price competition in the voice market intensified.

The fixed-line sector contracted by 1.3% in Q215, but remained stable y-o-y.

The number of mobile data users grew by nearly 38% y-o-y in June 2015, to account for 62.4% of totalmobile subscriptions.


BMI Industry View
SWOT
Industry SWOT
Political
Economic
Operational Risk
Industry Forecast
Table: Telecoms Sector - Historical Data & Forecasts (Nigeria 2012-2019)
Industry Risk Reward Index
Sub-Saharan Africa Telecoms Risk/Rewards Index - Q4 2015
Table: SSA Telecoms Risk/Reward Index - Q4 2015
Market Overview
Table: Regional Comparison
Market Growth
Market Share
Table: Nigeria Mobile Market ('000)
ARPU
Networks
Mobile Content
Table: Selected Licensed Mobile Money Providers
Table: Market Overview
Wireline Market
Table: Nigeria Fixed-Line Market
Table: Nigeria Wireline Developments, 2013-2015
Regulatory Development
Table: Nigeria - Division Of Regulatory Responsibility
Competition
Competitive Landscape
Table: Key Players - Telecoms Sector
Table: MTN
Table: Globacom
Table: Airtel
Table: Etisalat
Table: CDMA
Company Profile
NITEL
MTN
Airtel
Globacom
Etisalat Nigeria
Demographic Forecast
Demographic Outlook
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Nigeria 1990-2025)
Table: Key Population Ratios (Nigeria 1990-2025)
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Nigeria 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group (Nigeria 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group % (Nigeria 1990-2025)
Glossary
Table: Glossary Of Terms
Methodology
Industry Forecast Methodology
Sources
Risk/Reward Index Methodology
Table: Risk/Reward Index Indicators
Table: Weighting Of Indicators

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