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Nigeria Agribusiness Report Q2 2015

Nigeria Agribusiness Report Q2 2015

BMI View: The 2014/15 cocoa harvest looks set to suffer from erratic weather conditions and outbreaks ofdisease, preventing farmers from capitalising on high prices. Slumping earnings from oil should reinforcethe government's determination to rebuild the segment into an export powerhouse, but may test its capacityto finance ongoing regeneration schemes. The more challenging economic climate is expected to make itseffects felt in other segments in the agribusiness complex, particularly insofar as climbing rates of inflationmay dampen domestic demand for pork and poultry. Meanwhile, the Boko Haram insurgency dragson, impacting corn production in northern states and threatening the future of wheat production in Nigeria.

Key Forecasts

Cocoa production growth to 2018/19: 52.8% to 382,000 tonnes. Global prices will remain sufficientlyelevated to stimulate investment from government and private sector bodies.

Corn consumption growth to 2019: 16.9% to 9.1mn tonnes. A fast-growing population with steadilyrising incomes will ensure steadily rising demand for the staple grain.


BMI Industry View
BMI Industry View- Nigeria- Q2 2015
SWOT
Agribusiness
Operational Risk
Industry Forecast
Cocoa Outlook
Table: Cocoa Production & Consumption (Nigeria 2014-2019)
Table: Cocoa Production & Consumption (Nigeria 2009-2014)
Rice Outlook
Table: Rice Production & Consumption (Nigeria 2014-2019)
Table: Rice Production & Consumption (Nigeria 2009-2014)
Livestock And Dairy Outlook
Table: Poultry Production & Consumption (Nigeria 2014-2019)
Table: Pork Production & Consumption (Nigeria 2014-2019)
Table: Milk Production & Consumption (Nigeria 2014-2019)
Table: Poultry Production & Consumption (Nigeria 2009-2014)
Table: Pork Production & Consumption (Nigeria 2009-2014)
Table: Milk Production & Consumption (Nigeria 2009-2014)
Grains outlook
Table: Wheat Production & Consumption (Nigeria 2014-2019)
Table: Corn Production & Consumption (Nigeria 2014-2019)
Table: Wheat Production & Consumption (Nigeria 2014-2019)
Table: Corn Production & Consumption (Nigeria 2009-2014)
Sugar Outlook
Table: Sugar Production & Consumption (Nigeria 2014-2019)
Table: Sugar Production & Consumption (Nigeria 2009-2014)
Commodities Price Analysis
Monthly Softs Strategy
Table: Select Commodities - Performance & Bmi Forecasts
Monthly Grains Strategy
Table: Selected Commodities - Performance & BMI Forecasts
Upstream Analysis
Africa GM Outlook
Table: Farm Size By Region
Africa Machinery Outlook
Table: Number Of Tractors Per 1,000ha Of Arable Land
Table: Farm Size By Region (2012)
Table: South Africa - New Tractor Sales Current Market Share In 2014 (%)
Africa Fertiliser Outlook
Downstream Analysis
Mass Grocery Retail
Drink
Alcoholic Drinks
Table: Alcoholic Drinks Value/Volume Sales, Production & Trade - Historical Data & Forecasts (Nigeria 2013-2018)
Soft Drinks
Table: Soft Drinks Sales, Production & Trade (Nigeria 2013-2018)
Food
Food Consumption
Table: Food Consumption Indicators - Historical Data & Forecasts (Nigeria 2011-2018)
Table: Confectionery Value/Volume Sales, Production & Trade - Historical Data & Forecasts (Nigeria 2011-2018)
Table: Sweet Biscuits Volume Sales, Production & Trade - Historical Data & Forecasts (Nigeria 2013-2018)
Regional Overview
Middle East & Africa Regional Overview
Table: Foreign Investment In Africa's Palm Oil Sector
Competitive Landscape
Table: Main Agribusiness Players
Demographic Forecast
Demographic Outlook
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Nigeria 1990-2025)
Table: Key Population Ratios (Nigeria 1990-2025)
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Nigeria 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group (Nigeria 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group % (Nigeria 1990-2025)
Methodology
Industry Forecast Methodology
Sector-Specific Methodology

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