Our core view remains unchanged as Niger's mobile market continue to perform in line with our forecasts in this 2020update. The market's growth potential will be driven by organic growth and the development of advanced services such as 4G,which will complement the current trend based on 3G and mobile money services. The Nigerien Council of Ministers confirmedplans for the sale of Orange’s local unit and transfer of its technology-neutral licence to new entrant Zamani Com S.A.S. (Zamani) inQ319. We believe the main downside risk for Zamani is that a relatively weak consumer profile will continue to weigh on all players'efforts to derive stronger revenues from the mobile market. Meanwhile, fixed voice subscriptions will continue to decline due to astrong preference for cheaper and more accessible mobile alternatives. Furthermore, there are multiple downside risks to theNigerien telecoms industry growth, where the government is increasingly considering the industry as a cash cow. As such, growingregulatory risks threaten to undo the gains made by a proactive regulator and frustrate operators’ efforts to exploit the market’sconsiderable growth potential.
Learn how to effectively navigate the market research process to help guide your organization on the journey to success.Download eBook