Netherlands Metals Report 2015
BMI View: After back-to-back years of volatility in the Dutch metals sector, 2015 looks to have laid thefoundation for a prolonged period of stability in terms of both production and consumption. This positivemomentum in the sector is set to continue through to the end of our forecast period in 2019. BMI expectssteel to continue to dominate the country's metals industry; however, we see no significant new investmentin the sub-sector over the coming years. Tata Steel, the largest producer in the country, is facing up to anincreasingly hostile and competitive operating environment, with cheap steel and aluminium being exportedfrom China. Nevertheless, opportunities remain in high-quality steel, of which the Netherlands is a keyproducer.
Long-Term Growth In Output
After posting a contraction in both production and consumption in 2013 and 2014, 2015 will mark a slightuptick for the steel industry. We expect the year to close with output up 1.3% and consumption up 2.1%year-on-year. However, BMI cautions that monthly data for steel production in the Netherlands suggeststhat a strong close to the year will be necessary for such estimates to become a reality. Over the first eightmonths of the year (correct to data published for August) output rose for five months and contracted forthree. Although this leaves the market sat below where it started in 2014, we still maintain our year-endestimates.
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