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Namibia Power Report Q4 2017

Namibia Power Report Q4 2017

BMI View: Hydropower will remain the dominant source of electricity generation in Namibia over our 10-year forecast period due to the capacity already present and a lack of other large-scale projects comingonline. Non-hydropower renewable electricity will be the growth outperformer with small scale projectsused to extend grid access to remote communities. Thermal power projects will be hampered due tofinancial and logistical constraints. Namibia will remain a net-importer of electricity due to domesticgeneration deficits.

Latest Updates And Structural Trends

We are maintaining our forecasts for thermal power generation in Namibia over our 10-year forecastperiod. We expect that thermal power output growth will remain stagnant at a level below 0.07TWh from2017 to 2026. This is due to a lack of new capacity coming online, with the existing 120MW Van Eckcoal-fired power plant underperforming. We also maintain our forecasts for Namibia's hydropowergeneration over our 10-year forecast period to 2026. Hydropower generation growth will remain stagnantas no new projects are forecast to come online. An annual average of 88% of electricity generation inNamibia will be sourced from hydropower.


BMI Industry View
Table: Headline Power Forecasts (Namibia 2016 - 2022)
SWOT
Industry Forecast
Namibia Snapshot
Table: Country Snapshot: Economic and Demographic Data (Namibia 2016-2021)
Table: Country Snapshot: Economic and Demographic Data (Namibia 2021-2026)
Table: Country Snapshot: Power Sector
Namibia Power Forecast Scenario
Hydropower Generation And Capacity Forecast
Renewables Generation And Capacity Forecast
Table: Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts (Namibia 2015 - 2020)
Table: Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts (Namibia 2021 - 2026)
Table: Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts (Namibia 2015 - 2020)
Table: Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts (Namibia 2021 - 2026)
Electricity Consumption
Table: Total Electricity Consumption Data And Forecasts (Namibia 2015 - 2020)
Table: Total Electricity Consumption Data And Forecasts (Namibia 2021 - 2026)
Transmission & Distribution
Table: Electric Power T&D Losses Data And Forecasts (Namibia 2015-2020)
Table: Electric Power T&D Losses Data And Forecasts (Namibia 2021-2026)
Table: Trade Data And Forecasts (Namibia 2015-2020)
Table: Trade Data And Forecasts (Namibia 2021-2026)
Industry Risk Reward Index
Africa - SSA Power: Political And Economic Risks Overshadow Potential Rewards
Industry Risk/Reward Index
Market Overview
Key Policies And Market Structure
Regulation And Competition
Pricing
Namibia Power Projects Database
SSA Key Policies And Market Structure
Competitive Landscape
Competitive Landscape
SSA Competitive Landscape
Regional Overview
Glossary
Table: Glossary Of Terms
Methodology
Methodology And Sources
Industry Forecast Methodology
Sources
Power Risk/Reward Index Methodology
Table: Indicators - Explanation and Sources

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