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Namibia Infrastructure Report Q2 2016

Namibia Infrastructure Report Q2 2016

BMI View: Growth in Namibia's construction sector will slow after 2016 as the country struggles to attract private investment and battles macroeconomic headwinds in the wake of persistent low commodity prices. The expansion in the short term will be driven by port infrastructure upgrades and the harnessing of renewable energy. Other major projects, mainly in thermal energy and rail infrastructure, remain stalled owing to a lack of funding. Latest Updates And Structural Trends

We forecast growth to slow after recording 10.7% real growth in 2016, averaging 5.9 over our 10-year forecast period.

While the budget balance is expected to remain the red until 2020, the government will continue to prioritise infrastructure development under its Medium Term Expenditure Framework. It is eager to establish a framework for public-private partnerships to attract private investment into infrastructure.

Delays in the construction of thermal power plants will weigh on growth throughout our forecast period.


BMI Industry View
Table: Infrastructure - Construction Industry Forecasts (Namibia 2016-2020)
Table: Infrastructure Risk Reward Index (Namibia)
SWOT
Infrastructure SWOT
Industry Forecast
Construction And Infrastructure Forecast Scenario
Table: Construction And Infrastructure Industry Data (Namibia 2015-2025)
Industry Risk Reward Ratings
Namibia - Infrastructure Risk/Reward Index
Rewards
Risks
Sub-Saharan Africa Risk/Reward Index - Stabilisation, But Tough Year In 2016
Table: Sub-Saharan Africa - Infrastructure Risk/Reward Index, Q216
Methodology
Industry Forecast Methodology
Sector-Specific Methodology
Risk/Reward Index Methodology
Sector-Specific Methodology
Table: Infrastructure Risk/Reward Index Indicators
Table: Weighting Of Indicators

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