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Myanmar Oil and Gas Report Q2 2016

Myanmar Oil and Gas Report Q2 2016

BMI View: Myanmar's crude oil and natural gas production will remain on a downtrend over 2015-2025,as low oil prices stunt greater realisation of the country's sizeable below-ground potential. Rising domesticdemand for fuels will see the country remain a net importer of oil through our forecast period, whilelongstanding export obligations amid diminishing supplies could see Myanmar struggle to sustain highlevels of pipeline gas exports over the long-term.

Latest Updates And Key Forecasts

Myanmar's hydrocarbon reserves are forecasted to remain on a downward trend over the next 10 years,though a strong pipeline of ongoing exploration projects offers upside risk to our forecasts.

Crude oil and liquids production will fall over 2015-2025 as natural declines weigh on overall output,though condensates output from large gas developments and sustained contribution from onshore fieldswill provide some support to output levels.

Gas production will rise over 2015-2017, underpinned by expansion works at the Yadana field. However,lack of new gas projects amid low oil prices will prove a drag on overall output from 2018 onwards.


BMI Industry View
Table: Headline Forecasts (Myanmar 2014-2020)
SWOT
Oil & Gas SWOT
Industry Forecast
Upstream Exploration
Latest Updates
Structural Trends
Table: PSCs Signed In 2015
Table: Proven Oil And Gas Reserves (CHINA 2014-2019)
Table: Proven Oil And Gas Reserves (CHINA 2020-2025)
Upstream Projects
Table: Myanmar - Key Upstream Projects
Upstream Production - Oil
Latest Updates
Structural Trends
Table: Oil Production (Myanmar 2014-2019)
Table: Oil Production (Myanmar 2020-2025)
Upstream Production - Gas
Latest Updates
Structural Trends
Table: Gas Production (Myanmar 2014-2019)
Table: Gas Production (Myanmar 2020-2025)
Refining
Latest Updates
Structural Trends
Table: Refining Capacity and Refined Products Production (Myanmar 2014-2019)
Table: Refining Capacity and Refined Products Production (Myanmar 2020-2025)
Refined Fuels Consumption
Latest Updates
Structural Trends
Table: Refined Products Consumption* (Myanmar 2014-2019)
Table: Refined Products Consumption* (Myanmar 2020-2025)
Gas Consumption
Latest Updates
Structural Trends
Table: Gas Consumption (Myanmar 2014-2019)
Table: Gas Consumption (Myanmar 2020-2025)
Trade - Oil
Crude Oil Trade Forecasts
Latest Updates
Structural Trends
Table: Crude Oil Net Exports (Myanmar 2014-2020)
Table: Crude Oil Net Exports (Myanmar 2020-2025)
Fuels Trade Forecast
Latest Updates
Structural Trends
Table: Refined Fuels Net Exports (Myanmar 2014-2019)
Table: Refined Fuels Net Exports (Myanmar 2020-2025)
Trade - (Pipeline And LNG)
Latest Updates
Structural Trends
Table: Gas Net Exports (Myanmar 2014-2019)
Table: Gas Net Exports (Myanmar 2020-2025)
Industry Risk Reward Index
Asia - Risk/Reward Index
Upstream Risk/Reward Index: Persistent Oil Price Weakness Underpins Bearish Outlook
Table: Asia: Upstream Risk/Reward Index
Downstream Risk/Reward Index: Projection For Weaker Economic Growth Undermines India's Scores
Table: Asia: Downstream Risk/Reward Index
Myanmar - Risk/Reward Index
Myanmar Upstream Scores - Rewards
Myanmar Upstream Score - Risks
Downstream Scores
Market Overview
Myanmar Energy Market Overview
Regulatory Structure
Fiscal Regime
Table: Myanmar - Upstream Tax Regime
Licensing Regime
Table: Myanmar - Contracts and Licensing Regime (Onshore)
Table: Onshore PSC Production Split
Table: Onshore PSC Production Bonus
Table: Myanmar - Contracts And Licensing Regime (Offshore)
Table: Offshore PSC Production Split
Table: Offshore PSC Production Bonus
Oil And Gas Infrastructure
Table: Oil Refineries
Company Profile
PTTEP
Total Myanmar
Regional Overview
Industry Trend Analysis
Glossary
Table: Glossary Of Terms
Methodology
Industry Forecast Methodology
Source
Risk/Reward Index Methodology
Table: Bmi's Oil & Gas Upstream Risk/Reward Index
Table: Weighting

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