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Mozambique Shipping Report Q1 2016

BMI View: The outlook for Mozambican ports remains strong and we maintain our forecast that the threefacilities of Maputo, Nacala and Beira will all enjoy strong growth both in the near term and over ourmedium-term forecast period to 2019. Growth in box handling will be driven by transit trade fromlandlocked hinterland countries and by an expanding domestic consumer market - although this is comingfrom a very low base. The more rapid growth will be in gross tonnage volumes, in large part a result ofgrowth in coal exports, which will continue to expand despite the fall in global prices.

Headline Industry Data

Gross tonnage throughput at the port of Maputo is forecast to grow by 20.1% in 2016, to 29.47mn tonnes,and by 7.8% in 2017.

Container handling at Maputo will expand by 6.8% in 2016 and by 6.3% in 2017, averaging 6.6%annually over the medium term.

Beira's total tonnage throughput will increase 31.2% in 2016, and will average 9.6% a year to 2019.

Container handling at the port of Nacala will increase by 4.0% in 2016 and will average 4.4% to 2019.

Real growth in total trade is forecast at 19.7% in 2016 and 4.7% in 2017 and will average 6.8% over themedium term.

BMI Industry View
Operational Risk
Industry Forecast
Table: Major Ports Data (Mozambique 2012-2019)
Table: Trade Overview (Mozambique 2012-2019)
Table: Key Trade Indicators (Mozambique 2012-2019)
Table: Top 5 Trade Partners - Product Imports (2012), USDmn
Table: Top 5 Trade Partners - Product Exports (2012), USDmn
Market Overview
Shipping - Global Industry View
Bright Spot For Shipping: Low Bunker Prices
Table: BMI Bunker Fuel (IFO180 & MGO) Price Forecast
Short-Term Outlook (three-to-six months)
Long-Term Outlook
Risks To Outlook
Global Company Strategy
Maersk Line
Mediterranean Shipping Company (MSC)
Evergreen Line
COSCO Container Lines Company (COSCON)
Macroeconomic Forecasts
Economic Analysis
Table: Economic Activity (Mozambique 2010-2019)
Demographic Forecast
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Mozambique 1990-2025)
Table: Key Population Ratios (Mozambique 1990-2025)
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Mozambique 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group (Mozambique 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group % (Mozambique 1990-2025)

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